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The 68 Things I’m Most Excited to Watch in College Basketball This Season

10/16/2018

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Picture
By: Lucas Vargas
68. The Marist Red Foxes play under new head coach John Dunne
John Dunne comes to Marist after 12 years as the head coach at St. Peter’s. The Red Foxes are looking to bounce back after a 6-25 season and last place finish in the MAAC.

67. The Jacksonville Dolphins and Sophomore guard JD Notae
JD Notae averaged 15.4 PPG, 4.7 RPG, and 1.9 APG as a freshman guard for the Dolphins. He will lead a Jacksonville team that returns several key contributors in what should be a competitive Atlantic Sun Conference.

66. Mike Daum’s Senior season for the South Dakota State Jackrabbits
Daum is one of the best players in all of college basketball. He averaged 23.9 PPG and 10.3 RPG while shooting 42.5% from long range. He is looking to give the Jackrabbits a signature NCAA tournament win in his final year.

65. D’Marcus Simonds’ Junior season for the Georgia State Panthers
While a relatively unknown player, Simonds has legitimate NBA potential. He chose to return to school following a 21.2 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 4.4 APG stat line and an appearance in the NCAA tournament as the Sun Belt champs. Georgia State can compete as long as he is running the offense.

64. TJ Holyfield and Stephen F. Austin’s Lumberjack Press
Holyfield has been a consistent piece of the Lumberjacks recent success in the NCAA tournament ever since he was a freshman. He is the program’s all-time leader in blocked shots and is coming off a Southland Conference Tournament MVP performance. SFA and their fast paced in your face press are looking to make their 5th NCAA tournament in 6 seasons.

63. The Australians on St. Mary’s
The Gaels have 5 Australians on their team, 2 New Zealanders, 3 Europeans, and 5 Americans.

62. UMBC when everyone knows their name
UMBC did the impossible and now everyone knows their name. Can they shine in the national spotlight?

61. All 5’ 9” of the Campbell Fighting Camels’ Chris Clemons
Chris Clemons is one of the best scorers in college basketball coming off a season in which he averaged 24.9 PPG and will work to get this Camels team over the hump.

60. Jon Elmore running Dan D’Antoni’s offense at Marshall
Marshall was able to upset Wichita State in last season’s NCAA tournament thanks to Dan D’Antoni’s offense which averaged 83.8 points per contest. The team loves shootouts and is more than equipped to handle them. Jon Elmore has one more season to show his masterful ability to orchestrate the Thundering Herd.

59. The Citadel Bulldogs play shootout games
The Citadel lost a lot of games last year (11-21 record), but scored a lot of points (82.5 PPG). They’re a team that loves to press and run which makes for entertaining mid-major basketball.

58. Tevin Mack suit up for the Alabama Crimson Tide
Mack showed flashes at Texas but ultimately left due to a suspension during his sophomore season. He is capable of scoring in bunches as a 6’ 6” wing which Alabama will need if they hope to replace Collin Sexton.

57. The Sophomore season of Cal’s Darius McNeill
As a freshman, the guard from Westfield, Texas led Cal in minutes played, assists, and 3-point shooting. I’m interested to see how he progresses in his second season.

56. A Kavell Bigby-Williams and Tremont Waters pick and roll
Tremont Waters was a killer at times last year. The end of the game at Texas A&M was enough evidence. He gets some help this year. Kavell Bigby-Williams has experience in the Final Four from his time at Oregon and plays above the rim on both sides of the floor.

55. Carlton Bragg play at his third school
The former 5-star recruit is now at his third stop. Going from Kansas to Arizona State to New Mexico, it is yet to be determined if his potential can translate to production.

54. Travis Steele take over for Chris Mack at Xavier
Xavier promoted from within following the departure of Chris Mack. Can Xavier remain in the conversation as a contender?

53. Chris Mack take over for Rick Pitino at Louisville
Louisville has turned the page on the Rick Pitino drama and is ready to move forward with Chris Mack. Louisville has a loaded non conference schedule and must replace the top 3 scorers from a year ago. V.J. King is the key for this team.

52. Ethan Happ’s post moves
Wisconsin is coming off a disappointing season but featured several young guys. Ethan Happ is the best big man in the Big 10 and leads a fundamentally sound Badger roster.

51. Tom Crean coach the Georgia Bulldogs
Tom Crean is a great coach. He rebuilt Indiana during his time there and was let go irrationally. Crean has created energy and excitement for the Georgia program and fans. I think he can make Georgia relevant.

50. CJ Massinburg and the Buffalo Bulls
The MAC is there for the taking. Buffalo dominated Arizona in the NCAA tournament last year. Their best player returns.

49. Year 2 for Mike Hopkins at Washington
Hopkins brought the 2-3 Zone with him to Seattle and has a real opportunity to make Washington into a winner during his second season. He has an experienced group that carries continuity and talent from the returns of Noah Dickerson, Jaylen Nowell, Matisse Thybulle, and David Crisp.

48. Davidson’s Backcourt
Kellan Grady, Jon Axel Gudmundsson, KiShawn Pritchett, and Luke Frampton are a sharpshooting mid-major backcourt that will keep Davidson’s 3-point shooting style of play alive and give the Wildcats a chance in the A-10.

47. Cayman Islands Classic
A field of Akron, Boise State, Clemson, Creighton, Georgia, Georgia State, Illinois State, and St. Bonaventure is sneaky competitive. Clemson and Illinois State always defend at a high level, Georgia State has D’Marcus Simonds, Georgia has Tom Crean, Creighton has Greg McDermott, St. Bonaventure made the NCAA tournament last year, and Boise State finished 2nd in the Mountain West last year.
 
46. Maui Invitational
Arizona, Auburn, Duke, Gonzaga, Illinois, Iowa State, San Diego State, and Xavier bring the premier programs together for the competitive tournament in Hawaii.

45. Battle 4 Atlantis
Butler, Dayton, Florida, Middle Tennessee State, Oklahoma, Stanford, Virginia, and Wisconsin compose the field in the Bahamas.

44. NIT Season Tip-Off
Kansas, Louisville, Marquette, and Tennessee gather in Brooklyn. All big names and noteworthy teams that could make noise in March.

43. Continental Tire Las Vegas Invitational
Michigan State, Texas, North Carolina, UCLA in Vegas on Thanksgiving. May have to take a break from football to watch these historic programs on the hardwood.

42. Michigan and Michigan State playing twice in the regular season
The Big 10’s poor scheduling prevented the home and home series from being played last season. This rivalry is must watch and deserves to be protected.

41. Kansas vs Kentucky on January 26, 2019
Talent vs Talent, Blue Blood vs Blue Blood

40. Kansas State at Marquette on December 1, 2018
Kansas State makes a living on defense; Marquette survives on defense

39. Gonzaga at North Carolina on December 15, 2018
In a rematch of the 2017 NCAA Title Game, Gonzaga gets to test themselves against a top team. The frontcourts will be showcased.  

38. Duke vs Kentucky on November 6, 2018
Battle of the 1 and Dones

37. Tennessee vs Louisville on November 21, 2018
Early in the season, we’ll get a chance to see if Tennessee can use last year as momentum and the difference Chris Mack has made on Louisville in short time.

36. Nevada at Loyola-Chicago on November 27, 2018
Two teams that embrace positionless basketball, expect a high scoring game from 2 programs worth keeping an eye on.

35. Michigan at Villanova on November 14, 2018
Rematch of 2018 NCAA Title game minus most of the key players from both teams.

34. The Big 10 Tournament not being at Madison Square Garden
Last season the Big 10 created all sorts of problems for itself by trying to impede on the Big East’s territory of Madison Square Garden. The scheduling problems shouldn’t be there this year and the tournament is back in the midwest where it belongs.

33. Daniel Gafford jump
Go watch some of the Razorback Forward’s highlights.

32. What Shaka Smart does with his Texas team
It is year 4 for Shaka Smart, can he deliver on the expectations that Texas fans had for him when he arrived in Austin.

31. Bol Bol and the Oregon Ducks
Oregon finished as a middle of the road PAC-12 team last year but adds a strong incoming recruiting class headlined by Bol Bol, the son of Manute Bol. Payton Pritchard is an underrated player and Victor Bailey Jr. could breakout.

30. Jordan Howard score the basketball
The brother of Marquette’s Markus Howard averaged 25.1 PPG last year for the Central Arkansas Bears.

29. Oklahoma play without Trae Young
Oklahoma made the NCAA tournament last year simply because Trae Young was on their roster and could generate some excitement. The 27.4 PPG scorer is in the NBA now and will force the Sooners to adjust. It could be a tough season in Norman.

28. Lindell Wigginton as a Sophomore at Iowa State
Wigginton went for 16.7 PPG as a freshman for the Cyclones. A member of the Big 12 All-Newcomer team, the Canadian should boost his NBA draft stock this year.

27. If Houston can build on last season
Rob Gray made Houston a tough team last year and it took a miracle for Michigan to knock them out of the NCAA tournament. Can guys like Corey Davis Jr. and Armani Brooks keep the culture alive for the Cougars?

26. Jordan Murphy lead Minnesota
Minnesota has had ups and downs over the career of Jordan Murphy. He has consistently played hard and led the Gophers. Murphy is an all-conference level talent capable of recording a double-double anytime he plays.

25. The return of Aubrey Dawkins
Former Michigan Wolverine Aubrey Dawkins will play under his dad at UCF. He has had a long road after sitting out due to transfer rules and then suffering a season ending injury at the start of last year. I’m excited to see Dawkins back on the floor.

24. Ky Bowman carry Boston College
Jerome Robinson leaves Ky Bowman to carry the load for Boston College. The explosive guard should be up the task after averaging 17.6 PPG, 6.8 RPG, and 4.7 APG as a sophomore and being an assist away from dropping a 30 point triple-double against Duke.

23. Clemson play defense
Brad Brownell has an outstanding defensive team. He went into 2017 on the hot seat and came out with an extension. The Tigers return the core of their Sweet 16 Team and can play with the big boys in the ACC.

22. Buzz Williams sweat through his shirts
It is always enjoyable to watch Buzz Williams on the sideline and even more enjoyable when he has a quality team at his disposal. Justin Robinson can be an All-ACC player and Nickeil Alexander-Walker is coming off a nice freshman season in the backcourt. Kerry Blackshear and Chris Clarke are strong pieces to a thin frontcourt. The Virginia Tech Hokies will be in the hunt of the ACC.

21. West Virginia without Jevon Carter
“Press” Virginia won’t have Carter for the first time in forever but Bob Huggins won’t change a thing. Esa Ahmad and Sagaba Konate pair for a frontcourt built on brute strength.

20. R.J. Barrett and the growth of Canadian Basketball
Sure, RJ Barrett will be the most talked about freshman, but he also represents a recent rise in Canadian basketball talent. Guys like Lindell Wigginton, Oshae Brissett, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Elijah Mitrou-Long, Ignas Brazdeikis, and Jackson Rowe will all be vital to their team’s success and come from north of the border.

19. Tyus Battle and the Syracuse 2-3 Zone
Tyus Battle decided to return giving Syracuse all five starters back on the floor. The 2-3 zone will have a go-to scorer and should have the Orange safely in the tournament conversation as opposed to recent years.

18. Loyola Chicago try to do it all again
Clayton Custer is a composed point guard, Marques Townes is a versatile wing, and Cameron Krutwig is an efficient back-to-the-basket big man. The Ramblers should be able to carry last season’s success into this year. I’m expecting big things.

17. Luke Maye collect double doubles
Maye has earned everything in his college career. He was a hero against Kentucky two seasons ago and has become the Tar Heels’ unquestioned leader. He gets one more go around in Chapel Hill.

16. Virginia bounce back from last season
Virginia was good enough to at least make a deep run last year. They play elite defense and have a scorer in Kyle Guy. You know what you’re going to get out of the Cavaliers in the regular season. I want to know if this team has used the upset loss to build the mental toughness required to respond to the critics.

15. The Gonzaga frontcourt
Killian Tillie, Rui Hachimura, and Brandon Clarke are a frontcourt that no team in the WCC can hope to contain. In fact, few teams in the country will be able to hold their own against this versatile group. Mark Few will have a contender once again in Spokane.

14. Chris Beard’s face turn red
The Red Raiders made the Elite Eight in a sensational second season for Chris Beard. He’s as intense a coach as there is but he gets the most out of his team. Matt Mooney and Tariq Owens are two very nice transfers that will help replace five seniors and Zhaire Smith. Jarrett Culver will become the focal player for this team.

13. The Butler Way
Losing Kelan Martin could hurt this Butler team. It will be up to Kamar Baldwin to take over as the primary scorer but he does have some help. Sean McDermott is a sharpshooting wing and Jordan Tucker transfers from Duke with plenty of hype. Butler always plays as a team and that gives them a chance against anyone.

12. Marquette play defense
Markus Howard averaged 20.4 PPG for a team that averaged 81.3 PPG. The Golden Eagles can score with anyone they play but the problem is the defense that gave up 78.5 PPG. If Steve Wojciechowski can get anything out of his defense, Marquette can compete. Transfers Joseph Chartouny and Ed Morrow should help in that aspect.

11. Shamorie Ponds returning to lead an intriguing St. John’s team.
Could St. John’s make the tournament? Shamorie Ponds, Justin Simon, and Marvin Clark all return for Chris Mullin but this time the reinforcements roll through. Former MAAC freshman of the year Mikey Dixon, Former Gamecock Final Four member Sedee Keita, and potentially standout guard Mustapha Heron are all eligible to play.

10. Carsen Edwards lead a Purdue team that lost so many key pieces.
I’ve seen Carsen Edwards play since he was a junior in high school at Atascocita in Texas. He will be an NBA player. If Purdue is able to win games this year, Edwards will be a big reason why.

9. Kansas State after an Elite 8 run
Kansas State made the Elite Eight despite the absence of Dean Wade during the postseason. Barry Brown, Xavier Snead, and the rest of the team is back with another offseason under their belts. The Wildcats defend and move the ball on offense. The battle for Kansas will be competitive.

8. Tennessee when they’re expected to compete
The Volunteers have high expectations after coming out of nowhere in 2017. Admiral Schofield and Grant Williams headline a roster that returns its entire rotation and will be ready for Kentucky.  

7. Kentucky play with an experienced leader
The Wildcats were able to add Reid Travis in the offseason, who grad transferred from Stanford. Travis averaged 19.5 PPG and 8.7 RPG as the face of the Cardinal. More importantly, he provides the leadership and experience Kentucky often lacks and could be the piece Coach Calipari needs to get his group of 5-Stars over the top.

6. Kansas load up with transfers
Dedric and K.J. Lawson plus Charlie Moore are all proven college stars that could propel Kansas to improve despite key losses of Graham, Mykhailiuk, and Newman from the Final Four team. The Jayhawks also return Lagerald Vick, Silvio DeSouza and Udokah Azubike while adding Quentin Grimes. Kansas should continue to control the Big 12.

5. The Michigan Wolverines replace the guys who solidified the program
Moe Wagner, Duncan Robinson, and Muhammad Ali Abdur-Rahkman were part of the core that won back to back Big 10 Tournament Championships and solidified Michigan as a national basketball contender. Can guys like Jordan Poole, Jon Teske, and Isaiah Livers step into larger roles? Can freshman Ignas Brazdeikis, Brandon Johns, and David Dejulius contribute right away? Zavier Simpson and Charles Matthews are the leaders of this team that is already being overlooked. John Beilein will have his team ready for March.


4. The Nevada Wolfpack run the floor
Nevada and their army of transfers will run teams to death. Eric Musselman has a legitimate final four team with Cody and Caleb Martin plus Jordan Caroline returning along with the additions of Tre’Shawn Thurman, Corey Henson, Jazz Johnson, Nisre’ Zouzoua, Trey Porter, Jordan Brown all ready to have an immediate impact. This may be the most exciting team to watch this season.

3. Juwan Morgan
Juwan Morgan is ready to dominate in his final year at Indiana. He put the Hoosiers on his back last season. He willed his team to an 80-77 OT win against Notre Dame with a 34 point and 11 rebound performance. I think Morgan will be competing with Edwards for Big Ten Player of the Year. This guy works as hard as anyone and is worth watching anytime he takes the floor. He also gets De’Ron Davis back from injury and will share the court with Romeo Langford.

2. Andrew Jones returning to the basketball court after his battle with cancer.
Andrew Jones overcame Leukemia. It will be phenomenal to see him back on the court for Texas. He is a fighter that deserves to be cheered for. Unfortunately, a foot injury may hold him out for some time, but once he takes the court, it will be the best story of the year.  

1. Villanova’s “Rebuild”
Villanova lost the core guys that won 2 national championships. Jalen Brunson, Donte DiVincenzo, Mikal Bridges, and Omari Spellman are all gone. The Wildcats will “rebuild” with Joe Cremo transferring in and Jahvon Quinerly. Jay Wright will show the program’s ability to reload this year.


Photo Credit: ​https://ftw.usatoday.com/2018/03/iowa-state-lindell-wigginton-dunk-video-photo
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Sunday Morning PSA: If You're Sleeping on the Bills, IT'S TIME TO WAKE UP.

10/13/2018

1 Comment

 
    The Bills have been an easy target in the media this season. Josh Allen isn’t ready to play QB. Kelvin Benjamin is checked out. Vontae Davis retired at half time. Their offensive line consists of practice squad players. Nathan Peterman. None of these change the fact that the Bills are 2-3 and a game out of first place in their division, without having played a single division game yet.  
​     
Sure, it might fly in the face of all reason and statistics to Billieve. The Bills are dead last in the league in point differential at -55. They’re also dead last in total team efficiency by a very, very, wide margin. https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/teameff
    
    But I’m here to tell you that the Bills are right in the thick of the playoff chase. Reasoning and statistics would have told you this team sucked last year. They had a -60 point differential and they profile of a 6-win team but made the playoffs, broke the drought, gave the Jaguars a tough game, and smashed a few hundred folding tables along the way. These guys are winners. And that’s been the same story this year. Nathan Peterman has a negative career ANY/A, so it’s literally more effective to spike the ball every down then let him be your QB, so I’ll be throwing Week 1 out of my analysis. Since then the Bills pulled off the biggest upset in the NFL over the past 23 years and beat an AFC South leading Titans team. Both of those teams have beaten the Carson Wentz Eagles. The Bills had no right winning either of those games, yet they did it. Josh Allen is comically unprepared to be an NFL quarterback. The Bills only last week gave McCoy double digit carries. This team is terrible on paper, yet here they are winning games. They’ve played the 5th hardest schedule in the league up to this point, and are 2-3. The division leading Patriots have played the 28th toughest schedule. https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/ranking/schedule-strength-by-other

     The Bills have already survived the toughest part of their schedule. I very sincerely mean it when I say this season could not have realistically started any better for the Buffalo Bills. They now will play six of their last nine games at home. Their opponents over that stretch have a combined current record of 27-27. The Bills past opponents are a combined 11-8-2. In this year’s weak AFC, 9-7 could very well be all it takes for the Bills to make the playoffs, and they already have a tie-breaker over fellow 2017 wild card Tennessee. To get to 9 wins the Bills just have to win @ Texans, @ Colts, @ Jets, @ Dolphins,  vs Jets, vs Lions, and vs Dolphins, in that order. Outside of those seven games, all against teams weaker than any opponent of the Bills’ so far this season, the Bills are vs. Patriots, vs. Bears, vs. Jags. and @ Patriots in that order. If the Bills win just one of those games against the Patriots, the wild card talk goes out the window, and the Bills will be all in on winning the AFC East. The Bears and Jaguars games are also perfect matchups for the Bills. The Bills neutralize the leagues two best defense by being terrible on offense anyway. Every defense looks like the ‘85 Bears against the Bills. Chicago and Jacksonville should honestly rest their starters because the Bills aren’t scoring more than 20 either way and these games will just come down to which offenses can muster out more miracles and come away with the win. In front of a Western New York crowd, I’d expect at least one of those two games to shake out in the Bills’ favor.

    So looking straight ahead at the Bills’ schedule, they have games in Houston and Indianapolis. Neither game will be an easy win, but those are two very winnable games. In the meantime, the New England Patriots host their kryptonite in Kansas City on Sunday Night tonight, and travel to Chicago next week. Then, the two teams will meet in Buffalo on Monday Night Football, where it is entirely possible that the Bills will have the better record between the two teams. There may be nothing more scaring to Bills fans than a MNF game against the Patriots, but these Sean McDermott Bills aren’t the Bills of the 21st century so far. They’re probably worse. But they somehow keep winning. If Josh Allen struggles, they now have an actual NFL quarterback in Derek Anderson to turn to. The McDermott Bills play football just to spite common sense. If you have written this team off, don’t. The path to the playoffs is easy. If you’re sleeping on the Bills, IT’S TIME TO WAKE UP.

image credit: ​https://www.democratandchronicle.com/story/sports/2018/09/24/josh-allens-hurdle-lights-up-twitter-bills-roc/1408209002/
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Back and Forth Week 7: Wisconsin Preview

10/12/2018

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Picture
Image via College Football News
Alex: The midpoint of the season is upon us and with it brings to the end of the easy portion of Michigan’s schedule. Up next is the late October gauntlet of Wisconsin, Michigan St., and Penn St.. But first, do you have any takeaways from Michigan’s 42-21 defeat of Maryland last weekend?

Evan: I do. Can you guess what I’m upset about this week?

Alex: Uh… the defense letting up in the 4th quarter?

Evan: No. The exact opposite.

Alex: I should’ve figured.

Evan: HOW DOES THIS TEAM COME OUT SLOW EVERY WEEK?!? (Shout out to Nick Hornburg for the all caps inspiration). But seriously, Michigan trailed 7-3 at the end of the first quarter. They honestly were excellent the rest of the way, but the slow start (at home this week nonetheless) still worries me.

Alex: I get the sentiment, but this week was a different sort of “slow start”. The first several drives typically gained at least 40 yards and Maryland was doing nothing offensively. There was just a couple mistakes that prevented the execution early. But despite the score at the end of the first quarter, the game was never close.

Evan: It’s that lack of early execution that scares me though. Maybe not even as much this week against Wisconsin, but moving forward. If Michigan goes down early to MSU, we know Dantonio is willing to run out the clock. If Penn State builds an early lead, I don’t know if Michigan has the firepower to keep up in a shootout. And one thing we can be sure of is that an early deficit at Columbus is akin to a death sentence. Maybe I’m overreacting. We’ll find out soon enough.

Alex: As for my observations, I thought this was probably Patterson’s best game at Michigan. He was accurate on nearly all of his throws, made universally good decisions, extended plays, and didn’t try to do too much. He was crisp and right on the money play after play. It was also another strong game from the offensive line which will now finally get a big test this week, but to see them consistently give Patterson time, even against a pretty mediocre/bad team, is very encouraging given how low we were on this unit post-Notre Dame.

Evan: Whoa whoa whoa. A mediocre/bad team? This team beat Texas. And Texas just beat Oklahoma. Meaning Texas is back. At the end of the year, we can say we beat the team that was the last team to beat Texas before they came back.

Alex: That will probably be the best that Maryland will have to brag about at year’s end. Before we get into Wisconsin, it’s worth noting that this is the official midpoint of the season. Michigan is 5-1, #12 in the country according to the polls. However, in the advanced metrics Michigan is ranked as high as #5 (S&P+). So I’ll pose a question to you…. which one of those rankings is Michigan closer to in your eyes?

Evan: That is a tough question. I’m copping out. Here are the teams that I know are better than Michigan today: Alabama, Georgia, Ohio State, Clemson. The teams I would group with Michigan are: Notre Dame, Penn State, Washington, Texas, Oklahoma, Florida, LSU. Right behind that group I would have: West Virginia, UCF, Wisconsin, Miami, Oregon, Colorado, NC State. I think Michigan probably falls halfway in between their advanced metric ranking and poll ranking. I think we are going to have a much better feel for where they stand in three weeks, and I refuse to answer your question because it’s hard and reminds me of all the exams I’ve taken this week.

Alex: What a pathetic answer. Where are the hot takes? I think the way Michigan has been playing the last number of weeks puts them in the top 10 but they have to earn that status, and that requires finally winning some big games. Beating a top 15 Wisconsin team at home at night on GameDay and then beating your rival in their stadium the next week would do that in my eyes. So for now, I have no real issues where the Wolverines are ranked.

Evan: Here I’ll give you a hot take. Michigan will be undefeated in games where Patterson throws for 250+ yards and has two more total touchdowns than turnovers. ...that actually really wasn’t a hot take, so here’s a real one: Michigan (10-1) vs OSU (11-0) will be #2 vs #4. I think by that time, Alabama will still be sitting pretty at number 1, OSU will be at 2, Clemson at 3, and Michigan at 4. Neither team should lose before then. It’s a hot take for a reason, but the advanced metrics are on my side with that one.

Alex: It’s 2016 all over again! I appreciate the #hottake. A lot of time to go before then, however. And Michigan has

Evan: I have one more hot take for you: despite only one Wolverine currently on most first round draft boards, three or more Wolverines will be taken on the first night of the NFL draft, and at least eight total Wolverines will be drafted (Gary, Winovich, Bush, Hudson, Long, Hill, Patterson, Hart).

Alex: I don’t think both Long and Hill will be drafted and I’m a bit skeptical on Hart. Otherwise sure. Shall we get onto the Badgers?

Evan: The only reason one of them wouldn’t get drafted is if they came back, but sure, let’s talk about one of the most overrated teams in the country. Let me lay out two scenarios for you:

Team A: 4-1, only loss is @ Penn State in overtime; 12th overall per S&P+, 13th offense, 41st defense, 41st special teams

Team B: 4-1, only loss is to Utah State at home; 13th over per S&P+, 8th offense, 55th defense, 23rd special teams

I’ll let you guess in a second, but let me talk a bit more about Team B. Team B has a great running back and a strong offensive line. Against 5 opponents with an average S&P+ ranking of 77.2, that running game has allowed them to control the tempo of the game, and get first downs at will. Their passing game is relatively week, and their defense has struggled at times (most notably by allowing over 500 yards to Nebraska). They are a tough team to play, but very beatable.

Alex: Team A is App. State who are surprisingly good this year and could push for a NY6 bowl game, while Team B is Wisconsin. And yes, the Badgers are very beatable. Their offense might be the best they’ve had in Madison since Russell Wilson quarterbacked for them. Jonathan Taylor is a star and their offensive line gives Junior QB Alex Hornibrook plenty of time to throw on every play. His consistency is still a bit of an issue, bouncing between NFL caliber throws and the occasional wounded duck. That said, this is not a typical Wisconsin defense. They lack the pass rushers that they’ve had in the past and their secondary is a major weakness right now, at least in part due to injuries.

Evan: That secondary should be very exploitable this week. In fact, Michigan’s next 3 opponents, while all formidable matchups, have all had problems in the secondary this season. Shea Patterson is hitting his groove, and at the right time. I think that’s important given some of the injuries Michigan has on its own defense. The key matchup in this game is going to be the Wisconsin rushing attack against Michigan’s front 7. With Aubrey Solomon still out, not having Rashan Gary and Michael Dwumfour would put a lot of pressure on the Wolverine linebackers.

Alex: Injuries are going to be a factor in this game. Michigan has question marks on the defensive line with Gary, Dwumfour, and Kemp, while Wisconsin’s secondary is dealing with injuries to starting CB Caesar Williams and star SS D’Cota Dixon, as well as not having starting FS Scott Nelson for the first half due to a targeting penalty. To me, the game rests on Shea Patterson’s ability to attack the Wisconsin secondary and create offense through the air. It’s been a long time since Michigan beat an opponent primarily through the aerial attack and yet that might be the easiest path to victory for the Wolverines.

Evan: I’d argue it has only been 5 days since Michigan beat an opponent primarily through the air.

Alex: Let’s clarify that to *big* opponent.

Evan: Fair, and I know Higdon had 103 yards but Michigan opened up the field with the Patterson passing attack early and often. This is the first time I’ve been confident in a Michigan quarterback since Jake Rudock, and the first time that’s been combined with a star loaded team around said quarterback since the Lloyd Carr days. This Michigan team could still very well fall apart, but all the pieces are in place. It should come together Saturday in a big way.

Alex: Let’s wrap it up with the usual: thing to watch, score, MVP.

Evan: I’m watching for Michigan’s receivers to get open quickly by creating separation at the line and running sharp routes. This should be a big game for Patterson, who is my MVP pick, but it starts with the recievers. I’ll go 31-21 Michigan, with Wisconsin scoring touchdowns early and late but Michigan controlling most of the game.

Alex: I’m watching to see how Michigan’s vaunted defensive ends, Winovich and Gary (if he’s playing) do against the best offensive line in the country. Can the Wolverines get consistent pressure on Hornibrook? If the answer is yes, it could be a long night for the Badger offense. My prediction is Michigan 24-16, with the MVP being Donovan Peoples-Jones.
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“Free Money Pick” for Thursday Night Football

10/11/2018

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Eagles V. Giants
Pick: Eagles -1.5
​By: Dean Persichetti


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The Eagles are coming off an absolutely demoralizing loss, and may not have Lane Johnson tonight. That doesn’t matter, TAKE THOSE POINTS. The line’s moved from 3 at the beginning of this week to 1.5, don’t listen to those jokers. The Giants still have one of the worst offensive lines in football, and promptly removing that trashcan Ereck Flowers this past week won’t make Eli Manning a good quarterback.
 
Despite this Eagles team showing clear signs of regression from last season, and corner back Jalen Mills continually getting exposed for his ineptitude in man coverage, the Eagles still cover.
 
Look I know what you’re thinking, "this Eagles team sucks, you don’t know what you’re talking about Dean you’re a sucker. Odell is going to torch that BBQ secondary, and give Eagles Defensive Coordinator Jim Schwartz nightmares so vivid he’s going to have to scrub himself in holy water after the game." And you’re probably right. But the Eagles will find a way to win this game, and if you enjoy free money pick em and move on. 

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Week 6 Power Rankings

10/11/2018

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Week 6 Power Rankings
Rankings by Andrew Laidlaw, Andrew Miller, and Daniel Thompson. Team write-ups by Andrew Miller
1. LA Rams
HOT TAKE: This LA Rams’ offense is better than the Greatest Show on Turf. The offense finds new and creative ways to dice you up for 40 yards at a time each week. Todd Gurley is the best offensive player in football, and looks like he cannot be stopped. Every play Goff is throwing to an open receiver. However, this defense is not as dominant as we thought, they give up a couple too many big plays a game. Doesn’t matter because this team can outscore everyone.

2. Kansas City Chiefs
    Patrick Mahomes is sensational. There is nothing he cannot do. If he rolls out, you are dead. Kansas City beat the Jacksonville defense (who also beat themselves in scheming the coverage) with great decisions and no play where Kareem Hunt didn’t at least look like he was getting the ball. The defense looked much improved as well, although against Blake Bortles and him throwing a goal-line pick on top of his guard’s head. This team has one huge liability, Orlando Scandrick is the worst starting CB in the NFL. Each time he is on a receiver he’s forced to pass interfere or just allow 15 yards. Other than that, good week for the Chiefs.

3. New Orleans Saints
    Congrats Drew Brees on breaking Peyton Manning’s passing record, seems no one wants to bring up Sean Payton’s genius as being partly responsible but that’s ok. This team can dice you up methodically even without Kamara playing. Mark Ingram impressed in his debut this season, along with Drew Brees spreading the wealth around the team. The Defense even looked like we thought they could be at the beginning of the year. However, if Marshon Lattimore misses extended time, that could spell doom for the Saints defense, forcing them to win by offense, which they are more than able to do.

4. Chicago Bears
    The Bears move up because they are on a BYE, and half of those ahead of them lost. I still think this may be the best Defense in the sport outside Jacksonville, and Trubitsky, I think, can still be a really good QB. Matt Nagy has shown himself to be a creative, risk taking offensive mind. They could really do something this year.

6. Cincinnati Bengals
    The Bengals are so well-rounded. There’s nothing on them that is really a flaw (not even Andy Dalton anymore). There’s nothing on defense that’s really elite either. Defensive Coordinator Teryl Austin has been able to come up with gameplans to maximize their strengths. What is elite on this team is their playmakers. Joe Mixon is the real deal, he’s Le’veon Bell in tiger stripes. AJ Green always gets it done, and Tyler Boyd is legit, I don’t know if this team is a contender, but the Bengals could ruin any team’s record any week.

6. New England Patriots
    The Patriots Defense is bad, REAL bad, like can’t cover Chester Rodgers bad. But this week proved that the patriots have the power and creativity on offense to win games with a good defensive plan by Bill Belichick. Any team can score on the Patriots defense, but now with their stable of running backs and and pass catchers, this offense is as dangerous as anyone in the league. James white might have to get rid of that 28 and get a new number because he is pretty much a Wide Receiver now.

7. Carolina Panthers
    Yeah they almost lost to the giants, but look at Saquon, he’s amazing. The defense looked really good, and the one really big play game against the Giants’ best QB Odell Beckham throwing a dime. The offense looks dangerous with McCaffery, Moore and Samuel offering more gadget plays than James Bond could. Devin Funchess looks better than ever, and Cam Newton is always a threat. This team is a sleeper contender, and one opposing teams know they could lose to any given Sunday.

8. Jacksonville Jaguars
    Blake Bortles is ruining the greatest defense since the Legion of Boom. The defense underperformed, but they didn’t play to their strengths either, expect that to change. The team cannot rely on Blake Bortles to not-lose, let alone win, a football game. Every team knows this, and even with Leonard Fournette back, teams know to stop him and let Bortles lose the game for them. They have been able to win a lot of 17-14 games because of their defense, but with the NFL points explosion we are seeing right now, that won’t be happening anymore, and Bortles will not step up.

9. Minnesota Vikings
    Remember the beginning of the season when we were worried that Kirk Cousins couldn't keep up with this dominant Defense? The exact opposite has happened. Kirk Cousins has played almost perfect football and is a dark-horse MVP candidate. The offense has weapons galore, even without Dalvin Cook, they can win. The defense is really disappointing and I do not know what has gotten into Xavier Rhodes who seems to bite on any double move thrown his way. The Defense allows a lot of big plays that can hurt them along with major depth problems on the front 7. The offensive line is still a liability and if they lose games they are probably the reason why.

10. Philadelphia Eagles
    The Eagles are in a funk I fully expect them to get out of. The defense, is fine. The offense, is fine. They are just missing big pieces. Ronald Darby stands out on film, but he secondary needs to stop putting Jalen Mills on an island like he has the speed to cover, which means Jim Schwartz might not get to blitz on every single play. The Offense is good, and Carson Wentz looks to have found his groove in the fourth quarter, they just really need a running back now that Ajayi’s season is done, although Wendell Smallwood looks really good. Hopefully, this team figures it out in an easy division.

11. LA Chargers
    The NFL’s only team to have 16 away games has looked really good after a rough start, all without Joey Bosa. The defense is getting it done and will be elite again when he gets back. This team can spread the ball with a bunch of really solid options for Rivers to throw to. There really isn’t a flaw on this defense outside coverage linebacker. This team is a danger to the rest of the league, Chargers can hang with anyone.

12. Pittsburgh Steelers
    This defense sucks, but this offense sure doesn’t. In a game that was supposed to be a shootout, ended up being James Conner Running all over the Falcons. This teams has all the weapons in the world, and doesn’t have to be clicking on all cylinders to score 21 points. The defense somehow, was able to stifle the Falcons offense and all their playmakers. The Steelers played for Mike Tomlin last week, and wanted to show the world who they really are. O ya, Le’veon is (tentatively) coming back in 2 weeks, watch out.

13. Tennessee Titans
    It’ hard to win a game in Buffalo, it’s a weird place to play. 13 feels right for the Titans because they are the definition of an average roster in the NFL, but they gameplan well enough to catch teams off guard and will often win games their own way. They can control the clock, and no win will be easy against the Titans, but no win will be easy for them with their offense. Corey Davis is the rea deall.

14. Baltimore Ravens
    You block Myles Garrett, it’s really hard, that’s what happened to the Ravens this week against Cleveland. The weapons on this team are not special, no matter what your friend says John Brown has done for their fantasy team. The Ravens have no one special on their offense and they have trouble getting open against good defenses. The reason they are this high is because they destroy in the trenches on both sides of the ball and this Baltimore defense is sneaky good and obviously deep. CJ Mosley is a top 4 LB in football.


15. Green Bay Packers
    This team should be really good, considering they have the best QB in football on their team*. But the Packers have no pass rush to speak of and their coverage is average at best. Jaire Alexander has been a bright spot on tape, but it seems as though this team will be unable to win games unless Aaron Rodgers does something spectacular each week. Although, that is 100% possible.
*These write-ups do not necessarily reflect the editor's opinions.

16. Cleveland Browns
    The Browns are real and they’re angry. I love this roster so much. This defense is a top 7 unit, and Myles Garrett may be the best pass-rusher in football. If Khalil Mack didn’t average a fumble a game, Garrett would be my favorite for DPOY. Denzel Ward can run with anyone in the league, and Peppers seems to have figured out some coverage skills. Baker Mayfield is making me re-evaluate my scouting process because he is clearly the best rookie QB and the game seems to just come natural to him. Him and Njoku are due for a breakout now that we are a third of the way into the season. Baker has some of the best decision making in the league ALREADY.

17. Miami Dolphins
    Bad team wins three early, but shows their true colors when the season picks up, this is the Dolphins, they are the winner of the New York Jets trophy of forcing Power Rankers to put them high, while we know they’re a bottom third team in the NFL. The Dolphins are really bad on offense, except when they want to include Kenyan Drake. The defense has no pass rush outside a 36 year old who has chiseled his body and committed himself to not eat meat or drink beer until he retires. The Dolphins don’t have a prayer in the AFC, and the only good thing to take from this team is the power of veganism in athletes. Thanks Cam Wake.

18. Detroit Lions
    The Lions have promise. I never thought I would say those words. Their pass defense is the surprise of this team, and played really well against Rodgers for 3 ½ quarters. The offense has 3 solid WRs with TJ Jones being a solid backup. Kenny Golladay is a star in this league and Marvin Jones and Golden Tate are no slouches. Kerryon is a legit player; I saw a burst this game I didn’t see previously. I think they may have actually found their answer at running back. The run defense is awful, and maybe that’s why they won, because Green Bay doesn’t rely on their run game. Promising start for Lions beating all the teams people thought we’d love to, but losing to the Jets, Cowboys, and 49ers. Go figure.

19. Seattle Seahawks
    Russell Wilson, not the Seattle Offense, held their own against the LA Rams. They look  lost on defense because each time that Russell Wilson was miraculously able to score, Seattle kept LA in it. When Russell’s magic hit a limit, LA Swooped in and scored. Tyler Lockett is really impressive and probably Wilson’s new favorite target. The Seahawks have no one, but Wilson can win you games when it counts. The offensive line looked okay in this game, an improvement!
    
20. Washington Redskins
    Washington isn’t good enough to beat good teams. They have Alex Smith at QB. But Chris Thompson, a baller. Jonathan Allen and Daron Payne, studs. Jordan Reed, fluid. DJ Swearinger, an animal in intensity. They can play good football, but I never trust them to win football games when they are down to the wire. The Saints showed that no matter if this defense is up and coming, it just is not ready to handle elite offenses in the NFL.

21. Houston Texans
    The Texans have a dominant Defense, JJ and Clowney should give coaches nightmares. Kevin Johnson is excelling at his new role at safety. Deshaun Watson also looks really good, and the offense ain’t too shabby either. The problem is the offensive line is so bad, Deshaun has to play lights out just to put points on the board, a well as stops any hope of a running game. This team has a lot of talent, but one of the largest liabilities in the sport. Martinas Rankin is their blindside tackle.

22. Atlanta Falcons
    This defense is bad, even worse without their two best players in Deion Jones and Keanu Neal. They cannot stop teams from scoring on them, and are not creative enough on offense to muster up a fight. Their season is over, they play in the NFC South against the Saints and Panthers. The offense isn’t creative enough to beat people in shootouts. They couldn’t get 20 on the Steelers defense with all that talent on offense it should be easier for Atlanta to score, but it has not been easy. This team is snakebit and isn’t showing any sign of improving.

23. Dallas Cowboys
    If you can stop the run, you beat the Cowboys. The Cowboys are the most one dimensional offense in football, and it feels like the only offense where that relates to running the ball. Zeke didn’t have the best day, but it’s hard to when Dallas’s offensive line is mostly hurt against JJ Watt and Jadeveon Clowney. Still, the Cowboys are a team that has serious problems surprising teams on offense. Dak isn’t helping either.

24. Denver Broncos
    The Broncos lost to an exciting Jets team. The defense is still really good and should be a nightmare when anyone has to play them in Denver. It’s hard to see how this team truly beats anyone on the road however. Any team, any game, can beat the Broncos, but the Broncos can win their way. If you call Case Keenum a game manager, you’d be wrong because this guy takes a lot of risks.

25. New York Jets
    The Jets are in an awkward stage, and like everyone in an awkward stage, they don’t know how to use their strengths well. Sam Darnold looks really good out there throwing the ball, and Jamal Adams is, in my opinion, definitely the best Safety in football. They have pieces, and next year they will be everyone’s surprise pick to win the AFC, but now they will have to deal with the off and on play of one Robby Anderson.

26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    The Bucs have Jameis Winston back. Does that make them a better football team? Probably not. This team has a lot of work ahead of them, mainly in the secondary. Lavonte David and Gerald Mccoy does not a defense make. Mike Evans, DeSean and Chris Godwin are all really good receivers, but it doesn’t help the fact that this team now has to deal with Jameis back in the spotlight and an only above average offensive line. Not to mention they’re in a division with the Panthers and Saints.


27. New York Giants
    Ereck Flowers isn’t the reason Eli plays bad. He can’t move in the pocket, throw a deep ball, or fit the ball into a window, yet the media still wants to say it is the offensive line’s fault. Here is a stat for you, the pass that ODELL threw to Saquon is the longest pass thrown by the Giants all season. The Giants would be better off having the Dragon Davis Webb come back to play QB than trotting out Eli every week. Thank god they have two of the six best offensive position players in football, or they might just be the worst team in football, with the WORST STARTING QB IN FOOTBALL.    

28. Buffalo Bills
    Dark Horse Coach of the year Candidate: Sean McDermott. This guy has turned the worst overall roster in the game, into a team that can be every playoff team’s most embarrassing loss. Buffalo always comes ready to play with a dangerous CB/S duo in Micah Hyde, and Tre White. Josh Allen looks better and more comfortable with every game, but probably shoulda sat this year out. If only they didn’t trade AJ McCarron. Watching Josh Allen sling it is always fun.


29. Indianapolis Colts
    Andrew Luck is back!!!!! He is throwing dimes, and rarely any screens which I love. Watch a Colts game and every pass attempt is 7 to 12.25 yards, he always trusts himself to make big plays. It worked a lot against the Patriots. The Colts have giants on their offensive line. You are never out of any game when you have Andrew Luck as your QB, and he isn’t running for his life. You are out of the game when your weapons are Eric Ebron and Charles Rodgers. Hopefully TY fixes that. The Colts are a team on the rise.

30. Oakland Raiders
    The John Gruden experiment is just really weird. The team should have stars but they just aren't playing. Amari Cooper should be a star, but drops too many balls. Marshawn should be a bulldozer, but just looks old. Derek Carr should be an MVP candidate, but lost some zip and confidence in his throws. The O-line should have been a strength, while the inside is elite the tackles are bad. Oh, and the defense is the worst in football. I feel bad for Oakland, having a team preparing for the future that you won’t get to enjoy. There still is hope though. They just need to rush the passer more… Oh wait.

31. Arizona Cardinals
    Hooray you won!!!! David Johnson is starting to play like himself. Josh Rosen throws a BEAUTIFUL spiral. That’s about it for this team. Everything else has been a negative so far. Their O-line is a liability, that may be giving them too much credit. Their secondary is not very good, Patrick Peterson may be going through the deadly disease almost being 30 at CB.  This team’s season was over since the beginning. Maybe, if they’re lucky they can eek out an extra win.

32. San Francisco 49ers
    Never count Kyle Shanahan out of a game. This team is just depressing to think about. The genius that is Kyle is wasted on CJ Beathard and the lack of receiving talent on the 49ers. Trent Taylor looked sensational in the loss to the Cardinals because he's always open on Shanahan’s well drawn up play. This team will lose a lot of games, but give other teams headaches in how to cover them. CJ Beathard and his goatee can only do so much you guys.


Image credit https://www.foxsports.com/north/gallery/upon-further-review-minnesota-vikings-philadelphia-eagles-100818
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Ranking the 10 Best Elton John Songs

10/10/2018

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By: Alex Drain

This weekend, Elton John will play his final two shows in Detroit as part of his multi-year Farewell Yellow Brick Road Tour that will cap his illustrious career in popular music. Since the author is a lifelong Elton John fan, he felt it would only be appropriate to give an ode to John, in the form of a top 10 ranking of his favorite songs.

10. Empty Garden (Hey Hey Johnny), 1982, from Jump Up!
Elton John was good friends with John Lennon. He had covered Lennon’s Beatles hit “Lucy in the Sky With Diamonds” and was made the Godfather of Lennon’s child with Yoko Ono, Sean. Thus, the assassination of Lennon in December, 1980, hit John hard. He and Bernie Taupin wrote Empty Garden as a tribute to Lennon and it’s both a moving tribute to the late musical legend but also a meaningful song about the grieving process in general. The song describes Lennon as the gardener of a garden that has since been left empty due to his death and the track includes heartbreaking lines like “I’ve been knocking, but no one answers”. Released as a single in 1982, it peaked at #13 on the Billboard charts.

Most important line: “It’s funny how one insect can damage so much grain”

9. Harmony, 1973, from Goodbye Yellow Brick Road
The only true deep cut to make this list, “Harmony” was never released as a single, though it was originally slated to, only getting cut because its release would have come too close to the release of John’s next album, Caribou. Despite that, the final track on Goodbye Yellow Brick Road became a fan favorite due to its euphoric chorus. Admittedly, I’ve never been a big fan of the verses but the fact that it still makes this list is a testament to the beauty of its chorus, with the backing music and John’s vocals meshing together with vivid color. It leaves you with a warm and wholesome feeling that sews together a near-perfect album with typical near-perfection.  

Most important line: “Harmony and me, we’re in pretty good company. Looking for an island in our boat upon the sea”

8. Candle in the Wind, 1973, from Goodbye Yellow Brick Road
Elton John’s ode to Marilyn Monroe has since been associated with dozens of different celebrities, most notably Princess Diana. The song first appeared on Goodbye Yellow Brick Road as a clear nod to Monroe, with references to her given name, Norma Jean. However it’s the chorus that really sticks, being written in such a way that it can refer to any person who died too young and Bernie Taupin said that the song could have easily referred to James Dean, Janis Joplin, or Jim Morrison. Thus it’s not surprising that when Diana, Princess of Wales died at age 36 in 1997, John returned to Candle in the Wind to honor the late princess. Taupin re-wrote the lyrics to be more specific to Diana and John performed the song at the funeral which was televised worldwide. That version was released, titled “Candle in the Wind 1997” and it far surpassed the original in terms of commercial success. While the 1973 version was never released as an A side single (a live version in 1987 peaked at #6), the 1997 version was a #1 hit in every major country and became one of the best selling singles in American musical history.

Most important line: “your candle burned out long before your legend ever will”

7. Your Song, 1970, from Elton John
Your Song is both Elton’s finest love song, but also his breakout hit. Released on his self-titled album, it was John’s first top 10 single in the United States. It’s not a perfect song by any means, and the lyrics are rather rough around the edges. But in some ways that’s what makes it so endearing, with stumbling lyrics like “If I was a sculptor, but then again no” making it feel authentic. It’s a gentle and harmless song that doesn’t quite encapsulate what was to come with John’s career but it showcases his softer side and for that, it finds itself firmly in the top 10.

Most important line: “it’s a little bit funny, this feeling inside. I’m not one of those who can easily hide”

6. Bennie and the Jets, 1973, from Goodbye Yellow Brick Road
This is one of those songs that you can recognize from the first note. Of course, to diehard Elton John fans, it can be recognized from the opening applause line, which was added in the studio (it was not a live version). But the distinctive first chord is incredibly recognizable and it sets the tone for the rest of the song. While some tracks are taken over by 1970s Elton’s voice, “Bennie and the Jets” is defined by the piano chords that thump along like waves in the ocean. It’s a track that is rather bizarre, so much so that John was against it being released as a single out of fear that it would fail commercially. Instead, it became his second #1 single in the United States and still lingers on classic rock stations to this day, with its satirical lyrics that critique the glamor of the 1970s music industry flowing along with the piano that rules the day.

Most important line: “we’ll kill the fatted calf tonight so stick around”

5. Goodbye Yellow Brick Road, 1973, from Goodbye Yellow Brick Road
The title track of one of the greatest albums in music history, Goodbye Yellow Brick Road represented the peak of Elton John’s musical powers. With a falsetto chorus accompanying Taupin’s lyrics draped with imagery from The Wizard of Oz, the track tells the tale of a narrator wishing to return to a more simplistic life after realizing that fame was not what he had dreamed of. This narrative is very similar to the way that Dorothy and her pals got to Oz just to find out that they had what they were looking for all along. It’s a definitive Elton John track and despite the seething line “maybe you’ll get a replacement, there’s plenty like me to be found”, this song encapsulates the fact that there is only one Elton John.

Most important line: "When are you gonna come down? When are you going to land?"

4. Tiny Dancer, 1971, from Madman Across the Water
A track that didn’t immediately become a hit, “Tiny Dancer” grew on musical audiences as the years went by, eventually rising to become one of Elton John’s most popular songs. Written by Bernie Taupin about women he had met in California upon his first visit to the United States, it features a gentle melody and a very catchy piano riff that the song relies on quite frequently. It didn’t even crack the top 40 on its initial release as a single in 1972 and would shortly thereafter be overshadowed by some of John’s biggest hits, but its persistence as a classic is a testament to its ranking at #5.

Most important line: "lying here with no one near, only you"

3. Someone Saved My Life Tonight, 1975, from Captain Fantastic and the Brown Dirt Cowboy
Before Elton John became an international superstar, he nearly committed suicide in the late 1960s due to conflictions about his sexuality and a looming marriage to a woman. He was saved from doing so by a friend, Long John Baldry, who is named “sugar bear” in this song and is the “someone” in the title. The track recounts that period in John’s life and is one of the most intimate and personal songs that Elton ever released. It features his typically stellar piano but also some of his best vocals, with the line “I would’ve walked head on into the deep end of the river” standing out as maybe the single best vocal performance of his career. It’s deep and introspective but also quintessentially Elton.

Most important line: “I would’ve walked head on into the deep end of the river”

2. Levon, 1971, from Madman Across the Water
One of the few very well regarded singles that didn’t chart highly (for an Elton John single, that is) was Levon, mostly because it came a bit too early. Indeed, it was only the 4th single of John’s to chart in the US and came before his peak, but it was a sign of things to come. As the years have gone on, Levon has gotten its due as a beautiful work of storytelling by John and Taupin. The song tells the tale of a fictional Levon, a cartoon balloon salesman who has accumulated wealth and his son, Jesus. Despite the speculation, it’s never been truly resolved whether or not the title for Levon was inspired by Levon Helm, the drummer for The Band, though obviously the character of Levon in the song has little to do with Helm. The song’s distinctive piano intro kicks off the first verse which is soft and restrained before the symphony picks up and adds the kick, but it’s John’s vocals that cement it in the pantheon of Elton’s collection.

Most important line: “Take a balloon and go sailing”

1. Rocket Man, 1972, from Honky Chateau
It’s Elton John’s most culturally memorable song and the one that still defines him to the day. Long before it experienced a recent revival in a remix by Young Thug or as a nickname for Kim Jong Un, Rocket Man was Elton John’s biggest hit to that point. A space pop song similar to Space Oddity of David Bowie, Rocket Man details the story of an astronaut’s emotions before going to Mars. It has everything that made Elton John one of the greatest to ever perform music, the vocal range, impeccable piano, poignant verses, and catchy choruses. The best section? 2:20-3:20, which showcases John’s elite vocal range (“a rocket man” starting at 2:37) interspersed between the piano which leads right into the symphonic chorus. It’s a masterpiece that still resonates today and culture remembers it, from our President to hip-hop artists, to companies that have used it in commercials, like this Volkswagen ad. There’s a reason many call it Elton John’s signature song. Because quite simply, it’s his best.

Most important line: "Mars ain't the kind of place to raise your kids"

Honorable Mentions: "Saturday Night's Alright for Fighting", "Don't Let the Sun Go Down On Me" "Funeral For A Friend", "I Guess That's Why They Call it the Blues", "Can You Feel the Love Tonight"

Image Credit:
https://www.rollingstone.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/rs-26739-rectangle.jpg
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This Week in the NFL Week 5

10/9/2018

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Andrew Miller

  1. Lions beat the Packers, in a game where the offense was spectacular, the pass defense was stellar, yet the loss feels stale because the Packers left 15 points and the win on the table.
  2. Broncos lost to the Jets, Jets offense came out swinging against Von Miller and Co. Phillip Lindsey seems to have separated himself from Royce Freeman, until next week when we have this discussion again.
  3. Patriots beat the Colts, Patriots offense looks unstoppable with the emergence of Sony Michel. Andrew Luck refused to throw a pass below 5 and I’m loving it.
  4. Bengals proved they’re legit by beating the Dolphins? Geno Atkins still impresses and Joe Mixon is rising a rising star in this league
  5. Pittsburgh beat Atlanta in a shootout that turned into a massacre of the Falcons secondary. Atlanta really misses Deion Jones; James Conner proved that Antonio and JuJu garner so much attention that they can make anyone look good.
  6. Carolina beat the Giants in a game that should prove once and for all that Odell Beckham is a better QB than Eli Manning. McCaffery looks legit and The Panthers are rolling into contention.
  7. Patrick Mahomes scorched the best defense in the NFL. The Jags looked like they were playing two snaps behind. As we all know, if you score more than 20 on the Jags D it’s no guarantee that Bortles will score enough to keep up, even on the Chiefs D
  8. Browns got the most unbelievable win of the week, beating Justin Tucker in a game told in field goals. Browns D showed they’re elite while the Ravens offense showed it might have to go back to the drawing board. Myles Garrett sleeper for DPOY
  9. For the second time this season, the Buffalo Bills beat a clearly better team by letting that them beat themselves and doing nothing on offense to help. Mariota couldn’t throw to a covered receiver, Bills tried to maul a very good Titans line.
  10. Chargers reminded the Raiders that they are bad, on both sides. The Carr pick in the red zone was emblematic of their whole season, lazy play-calling and a little too mystifyingly off target. Chargers looked good, especially in those powder blues, imagine how they’ll look with Bosa back.
  11. Arizona showed the 49ers that the second least exciting team in football can beat what should have, and somehow still is, been one of the most exciting offenses in football. Josh Rosen can throw a beautiful spiral, CJ Beathard can….. Uhhh… Grow an ugly goatee.
  12. The Rams were losing most of the game, yet always felt like they would win the game. Todd Gurley, the true LA MVP, looked unstoppable (even with 2 long runs called back) against the Seahawks Defense, formally known as The Legion of Boom. Russell Wilson almost did it on his own, but then he met Sean Mcvay.
  13. Carson Wentz started off slow, but vintage Carson showed up just in time for the Vikings to kick a game-winning field goal. Kirk Cousins has been superb for the Vikings, and generously, the defense has looked average.
  14. Thank god there is no state income tax in Texas, because JJ Watt and Clowney owned the line of scrimmage. Dallas couldn’t gain an inch, Zeke couldn’t evade anyone, and Dak lost a day of his life on each drop back. Deshaun Watson looked ok, can’t throw the ball accurately when your own center in your face a second after the snap.

    image credit: 
    https://www.si.com/nfl/2018/10/07/chiefs-jaguars-patrick-mahomes-blake-bortles-kareem-hunt​

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2018 MLB Playoff Division Series Preview

10/7/2018

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National League

Milwaukee Brewers (1) vs. Colorado Rockies (4)

The first game of the National League Divisional Series features two red-hot teams facing off when the top-seeded Milwaukee Brewers take on the fourth-seeded Colorado Rockies.  Each team played a Game 163 to try for the win in each of their respective divisions. The Rockies will be trying to fight off jet lag as this is their third game in as many time zones. Colorado lost Game 163 to Los Angeles, but bounced back the next day to take the NL Wildcard game from the Chicago Cubs. Milwaukee, on the other hand beat the Cubs in Game 163 to claim the NL Central Division title and the No. 1 seed in the NL playoffs.
This series will be fun to watch. Game 1 at Miller Park will be hopping. The Brewers will be giving their bullpen the start against the Rockies’ No. 3 starter Antonio Senzatela. The Milwaukee bullpen (3.47 ERA) is really deep and should outpace Senzatela (4.38 ERA). However, in September Senzatela boasted a 2.94 ERA, but as all baseball fans know, October baseball is a whole different animal. Colorado’s Tyler Anderson (4.25 ERA, 3.25 ERA in September) will face Milwaukee’s Jhoulys Chacin (3.50 ERA) at Miller Park for Game 2. Game 3 will be at Coors Field and will see the Rockies’ ace Kyle Freeland (2.85 ERA) take on an unknown member of the Brewers’ pitching staff.  

The Brewers, on paper, are the superior team in this series in almost every facet of the game. The Rockies have better starting pitching, but because of the extra games they could find themselves digging their way out of a 2-0 hole come Game 3, when they can finally start their ace. Milwaukee’s batting order is lead off by their outfield (CF Lorenzo Cain, RF and near triple-crown winner Christian Yelich, and LF Ryan Braun) while SS Orlando Arcia and 2B Travis Shaw round out the Brewers loaded lineup. The Rockies lineup features CF Charlie Blackmon, RF Carlos Gonzalez, SS Trevor Story, and slick-fielding 3B Nolan Arenado.

Expect the Brewers to take Games 1 and 2 at home behind the bat of Christian Yelich. Colorado will come out flat after a busy start to their post-season. The Rockies will take at least Game 3 at home because they have a significant home-field advantage, and they will be getting their top of the rotation back. Expect the Brewers to pop the champagne bottles after either Game 4 or 5.


Los Angeles Dodgers (2) vs. Atlanta Braves (3)

The Dodgers (92-71) were able to beat the Rockies in a one game tiebreaker to take the NL West for the 5th year in a row. Quite possibly more important to the Dodgers, however, is that they were able stay away from the Brewers in the NLDS. Obviously, that is not to say that the Atlanta Braves have a weak team, but playing in Milwaukee is no easy task, and by winning the tiebreaker the Dodgers were able to avoid a Division Series against the red hot Brew Crew and face the Braves instead. The Dodgers are looking to win the NL Pennant for a second year in a row and ultimately redeem themselves after losing in 7 games to the Astros in the 2017 World Series.

The Braves (90-72) took the NL East for the first time since 2013. They had a tough task taking down a crowded NL East division with the talented Phillies and Nationals, but they were able to pull away in August and September (33-25 in those months). This young and exciting team turned many heads early in the season, and to the surprise of many they were legitimate by the end of the season. They will look to reach the World Series for the first time since 1999.


Batting:

The Dodgers undoubtedly have the advantage at the dish. They lead the NL (and the entire MLB if it wasn’t for the Red Sox and Yankees) in home runs, SLG, OPS, and several other categories. Their mid-season move to acquire Manny Machado from the Orioles could prove to be pivotal in the postseason. He went yard 37 times and had an unbelievable OPS of .905. They also have some other notable sluggers in Max Muncy (35 home runs), Yasiel Puig, Cody Bellinger, and Justin Turner. These guys proved that they can rake in the postseason as well, leading their team to the 2017 World Series.

For the Braves, they do not hit for power as much as the Dodgers do . They are 19th in the league in home runs, but they are a respectable 11th in slugging. Leading the Braves in several categories at the plate is 1st baseman Freddie Freeman. He batted .309 on the year and batted in 98 runs. Hitting in front of Freeman is rookie sensation Ronald Acuna Jr. who posted an incredible .917 and went yard 27 times. He truly took the NL by storm, and he’s looking to dominate in the postseason. This team does not have as much experience in the postseason at the plate with several rookies and many veterans experiencing their first trip to the playoffs, but don’t be surprised if this young team challenges the Dodgers.

Pitching:

Without a doubt, the Dodgers have the advantage here. They posted a league best 3.38 ERA with possibly their best two pitchers, Clayton Kershaw and Hyun-Jin Ryu, out for a significant amount of time. They also lead the NL in strikeouts and quality starts. Behind their two stars, Walker Buehler and Alex Wood were extremely good in the 2018 season and look to continue that into the postseason. Their bullpen is anchored by Kenley Jansen who had an injury scare late in the season but is back and healthy to face the Braves.

The Braves posted a team average ERA of 3.75 which puts them at 5th in NL. They didn’t have a dominant ace all season, but the closest thing they had to it was Mike Folty who went 13-10 with 2.85 ERA. Sean Newcomb and Julio Teheran weren’t far behind and will start games in the NLDS. The Braves also added Kevin Gausman who finished the season red hot. In terms of depth though, the Dodgers undoubtedly have the advantage in starting pitching.

The Dodgers seem to have the clear advantage in batting and pitching. Moreover, they have more experience in the postseason than this young Braves team and I see the Dodgers taking it in 4 games.  



American League

Boston Red Sox (1) vs. New York Yankees/Oakland Athletics (4)


ALDS: New York Yankees (100-62) vs. Boston Red Sox (108-54)

Since 2004, fans have not seen the best rivalry in sports compete in a playoff series. This all changes Friday night as the Boston Red Sox host the New York Yankees at Fenway Park for Game 1 of their American League Division Series matchup.

Both teams had quite amazing seasons and it’s truly a shame that one will have to end at the conclusion at the series. The Yankees won the most amount of games for a wild card team ever and also broke the team home runs record of the 1997 Seattle Mariners of 264, smashing 267 with six players hitting more than 20 homers each. On the other hand, the Red Sox won the most games in their entire franchise history and were anchored by MVP candidates Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez, one of whom will certainly take home the honor.

Each club’s biggest strength is a high-powered offense with lots of depth that can score at any time off of any pitcher. The Red Sox ranked first overall with 876 runs, while the Yankees were right behind them with 851. Interestingly enough, arguably the only hole in both lineups is at catcher as the Red Sox have the putrid combo of Christian Vazquez and Sandy Leon, while the Yankees have fallen star Gary Sanchez.

Similarly, each rotation can be described as questionable. The Red Sox will most likely trot out Chris Sale, David Price, and Rick Porcello as their top three starters with Nathan Eovaldi potentially on tap for a Game 4 because of his dominance and familiarity with his former team. Believe it or not, Sale is actually the only one of that top trio without a Cy Young Award. Meanwhile, the Yankees have J.A. Happ scheduled for Game 1 with Masahiro Tanaka and Luis Severino following behind him. The determining x-factor will be the health of Sale as he can single-handedly take over a series when he is right.

The biggest discrepancy between the two squads is the effectiveness of their bullpens. While the Yankees added a former closer who actually has received Cy Young Award votes in Zach Britton, the Red Sox stood pat despite their lack of a reliable set-up man and only added Eovaldi. Red Sox closer Craig Kimbrel is one of, if not the best, at his job in the whole league and facing off against him in the ninth inning while losing will be quite the uphill climb for the Bronx Bombers. However, the game actually needs to get there, and that will rely on the shaky other arms on the staff.

That being said, the biggest matchup of the series will be Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and the other sluggers in the Yankees’ meat of the order. The outcome could determine the series itself.

All statistics were taken from Baseball Reference.



Houston Astros (2) vs. Cleveland Indians (3)
ALDS: Astros (103-59) vs. Indians (91-71)

The last two AL champions (and the reigning World champs) square off in a division series matchup that features high-octane offenses and solid pitching rotations.  

The Indians won the AL Central for the third consecutive year, benefitting from a weak division field, riding Corey Kluber (20-7, 2.89 ERA) and Jose Ramirez’s MVP-caliber season (.270, 39 HR, 105 RBI, 34 SB) to a 91-71 record.  While Kluber was predictably dominant, Mike Clevinger enjoyed an incredibly solid campaign, posting a 13-8 record against a 3.08 ERA. Carlos Carrasco went 17-10 with a 3.38 ERA, and former starter Trevor Bauer will join an already stacked bullpen featuring Cody Allen and Andrew Miller to form one of the AL’s toughest relief corps.

On the offensive side of the plate, Ramirez paces a deadly offense that features superstar shortstop Francisco Lindor (.277, 38 HR, 92 RBI, 25 SB), Michael Brantley (.309, 17 HR, 76 RBI), and Edwin Encarnacion (.246, 37 HR, 108 RBI).  This lineup has power potential at every spot in the batting order, and most of its best hitters (with the exception of Encarnacion) are patient and can work the count to get their opponents’ bullpen. This offense is likely a top five unit in the MLB. Unfortunately, they’re the fourth best offense remaining in the AL field, and they will face arguably the AL’s most consistent unit in the Astros.

Winners of last year’s World Series, the Astros have one of the league’s best starting rotations, and I’m sure that many would agree that their staff is the best in this year’s playoff field.  Justin Verlander had a stellar season (16-9 with a sparkling 2.52 ERA) and will start Game 1 against Kluber, while Gerritt Cole (15-5, 2.88 ERA) will take the bump against Carrasco in Game 2. No starter has been announced for the Indians in Game 3, but we know that Dallas Keuchel (12-11, 3.88 ERA) will go for the Astros.
As good as the Astros’ pitching is, their offense may be even better.  Last season’s AL MVP Jose Altuve enjoyed another solid year, hitting .316 and launching 13 homers to go along with 61 RBI and 17 stolen bases.  While he was the MVP last year, however, this year the offense has been driven by Alex Bregman. In his third season in the Majors, Bregman hit .286, drilled 31 home runs, and drove in 103 runs to garner a significant amount of MVP consideration.  Meanwhile, last year’s World Series MVP George Springer hit .265 and drilled 22 homers and 71 RBI. and Yulli Gurriel hit 18 long balls along with 65 RBI. While the Astros may not have the power that the Indians possess, their rotation is more tested and their offense is more consistent and patient.  For that reason, I’m picking the defending champs to dispatch Chief Wahoo and, Co. in four games.


Written by: Jack Molino, David Martin, T.J. Wing, and Ethan Gainsboro




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Michigan Hockey Preview Part 5: Big Picture

10/6/2018

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Picture
By: Alex Drain

We’ve reached the end of the preview series. So, to finish it off I’m going to give a few superlatives and then make a few season/national predictions:

Team MVP: Quinn Hughes. Duh.

X-Factor: Josh Norris. I feel reasonably confident that Jake Slaker can pick up where Tony Calderone left off, and Will Lockwood could even be an upgrade over Dexter Dancs on the top line. But Norris will be asked to fill the huge shoes of Cooper Marody. That’s not easy to do. If he gets better, the team will play for a national title. If he doesn’t, then it will hold the offensive firepower back.

Breakout Player: Jack Becker. Becker was only a freshman a year ago (albeit an old one) and with experience, he should make a leap forward. He was drafted by Boston in 2015, so he has NHL-caliber talent, even if it has taken time to develop. He was Michigan’s best 3rd-4th line player offensively last season and after breaking into the lineup midseason, he really started to get a rhythm. In his final 15 games, Becker had 5 goals and 6 assists for 11 points, and that was coming against some of the best competition Michigan saw all season (3 vs ND, 2 vs OSU, NCAA/B1G Tourney). At that clip, he’d have close to 30 points across a full season. I think he emerges as a surprisingly productive scoring line player and solidifies himself in Michigan’s top 6. 

Biggest Area for Disappointment: The penalty kill. I hope/think it will be better, but until I see it fixed, it’s still the achilles heel.

And some final season thoughts:
  • One of the things that I mention a lot was how much better Michigan was at the end of the season versus the start. That’s the sign of a good coach and it leaves me optimistic about this season. But I want to point the level at which Michigan was playing late last season. In their final 10 games, the team was 8-1-1, with the 2 losses coming to teams that reached the Frozen Four, one in OT (OSU) and one being the crusher in the Frozen Four against Notre Dame, with the game winning goal coming in the final 30 seconds, so essentially OT. But if we backtrack all the way to January, Michigan was 14-5-1 in their final 20 games of the season, with again, 4/5 losses being to Frozen Four teams. If we’re measuring how this squad compares to last year, we have to compare it to a team that was winning at that clip, not the overall 22-15-3 record.
  • As for how the two teams compare, I think it may end up being a wash, but this team has higher upside. Last year’s team had one glaring issue that was central to its downfall in the end. Assuming Mel can get the PK up to average, this one shouldn’t have any glaring problems. Last year’s team was heavy on veteran guys hitting their ceilings, this one on whether NHL talent can continue to develop (Norris, Slaker, Hughes, Lockwood). I like the chances of that being affirmative.
  • While it is true that last year’s team was dependent on the Dancs-Marody-Calderone line, that was less the case the more the year went on. For example, in the Boston U. game that sent Michigan to the Frozen Four, the Wolverines scored 6 times, but just 1 was from the DMC line. In the Frozen Four matchup with Notre Dame, it wasn’t the DMC line that gave Michigan new life, it was the Pastujov-Pastujov-Becker line that scored the dramatic game-tying goal. The diversification of the offense was a big reason the team improved last season and there should be production across the roster, even if Norris and Slaker’s ability to simulate the Calderone-Marody connection is key.


A word on the trajectory of the program:

Regardless of how this season goes, the program’s best days are ahead of it. And that’s despite the fact that this team is contending for a national title. Mel is currently using players that Red Berenson recruited due to the way college hockey works (you recruit/sign guys before they turn 16 due to the OHL Draft). This won’t begin to be his team until the 2020-21 season. As Red got older, he hit on some players occasionally, getting a few big names out of the NTDP, the Larkins, Kyle Connors, Werenskis, and now Quinn Hughes and Josh Norris types, but overall, they weren’t the same stacked recruiting classes he had in the 90s. That talent, when used by a coach with the track record of success as Mel Pearson, is good enough to put Michigan in contention for national titles, but it won’t have the depth that it may have in the future. For example, this recruiting class (and the next one) are largely pretty meh by Michigan Hockey standards. Hopefully a few players will pan out into productive pieces, but it’s not dripping with talent overall. This is why there could be a drop off between this year and next if Norris or Slaker were to leave after the season (Hughes is gone for sure).

But once 2020 hits, the Mel Pearson Hockey Death Star will be fully operational. A quick look at the 2020 recruiting class sees two 5* guys (Andrei Bakanov and Owen Power) and the rest of the class being either 4 or 4.5* players. Just filthy. In the 2021 class, there are already a few of the top players in the class signed, and the third Hughes brother is signed for the 2022 class. Michigan will continue to add more and more 5* dudes, only to watch half of them get signed by the OHL because that’s how college hockey recruiting works. But from the way it appears, we’re headed towards the 1990s Michigan Hockey all over again: littered with NHL talent and a coach that can convert that into repeated conference and national championships. That Mel Pearson has this 2018-19 team as a favorite for the national championship should be terrifying to every other college hockey team wondering what he’ll do when he has top tier talent at every position. That day is coming sooner rather than later.

And the final prediction:

I’m feeling good about this season. The development of the team from October to April last year was impressive and I think it will happen again. It’s a team that returns most of their players and the question mark holes on offense are being filled with NHL talent. Michigan also returns their goalie and has the advantage that in basically every game they play, they will have the best player on the ice (Hughes). The team was youngish last year and they made it to the biggest stage in college hockey. With more experience, I think they’ll be more prepared this season. I said that it was mostly a wash between this year and the end of last, with 2018 Forwards > 2019, but 2019 Defense, Goaltending, and (hopefully) Special Teams > 2018. If we apply that final 20 game clip from last season, then across 35 regular season games, something like 23-10-2 is my approximate prediction. Expect a tight and entertaining regular season B1G chase with Ohio State. In the B1G Tournament,  ¯\_(ツ)_/¯. In the NCAA Tournament, #1 or #2 seed, hopefully Frozen Four, and from there.. who knows?

My 16 team NCAA Tourney field:

1 seeds:
  • Duluth
  • Boston College
  • OSU
  • Cornell
2 seeds:
  • Michigan
  • Providence
  • St. Cloud St
  • Notre Dame
3 seeds:
  • Minnesota
  • Minnesota St
  • North Dakota
  • Princeton
4 seeds:
  • Penn St.
  • Boston University
  • Northern Michigan
  • Canisius

Image Credit: https://bobcat.grahamdigital.com/249721e298582dfdad4e4cf76d217ac110c65fd6/crop-640x360-000.jpg
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Back and Forth Week 6: Maryland Preview

10/5/2018

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Image via collegefootballnews.com
Alex: We are back here for week 6 of our series. Michigan defeated Northwestern 20-17 in a very strange game on Saturday. Is there anything that we can take away from this?

Evan: There are a lot of things we can take away from this. A Jim Harbaugh Michigan team finally showed resilience, some young guys on defense group up before our eyes, the offensive line might not be as bad as we thought, and the B1G Ten officials hate Michigan. What do you want to start with?

Alex: Well we can start with the resiliency because that was the big story of the game for me. Michigan bounced back in a big way at a time when some were throwing in the towel. I never thought the game was over but they needed to turn it around and got the big statement drive right after NU went up 17-0. Still don’t like to see the team fall down that much though…

Evan: The slow starts have become a big problem for Michigan in the last two years. Dating back to the Florida game last year, when Michigan’s defense dominated from the get go, the offense (Wilton Speight specifically) gave Florida two touchdowns off turnovers leading to a Florida halftime lead. The Wolverines won that game, but a slow start under the lights against MSU was too much to overcome, as sloppy turnovers and horrific playcalling led to a 14-10 loss. Then when the Wolverines played at Happy Valley, Penn State roared out to a 14-0 lead before Michigan finally woke up. They cut the lead to 1 before halftime, but it was all Penn State the rest of the way. The slow starts weren’t as much of a problem by the end of the year, as Michigan led against Wisconsin, Ohio State, and South Carolina before eventually losing all 3 games.

Fast forward to week 1 in South Bend, and the problems came back in a big way. Notre Dame took a 21-3 lead before Ambry Thomas returned a kickoff for a touchdown to give Michigan some life. The Wolverines dominated the second half, but could never fully recover from the 3 score deficit they dug themselves into. This past weekend was no different. As you said, Northwestern got out to a 17-0 lead. But the problem extends passed the scores: during all of these games, the defense gives up easy pass plays that are atypical, the offense consistently goes 3 and out, and the whole team just plays very flat. I don’t know why the team has developed this tendency to start games slow, but it’s frustrating as a fan to say the least.

Alex: Well that was a lot of words. I’m not sure we can deem it a “trend” in the sense that just last week we were hailing the end of the slow starts. That said, it was good to see adjustments. Don Brown is very good at halftime adjustments, and I loved how much more physical the cornerbacks got, especially in helping to shutdown Northwestern’s slant routes. As you mentioned earlier, a lot of newer faces had some big plays. Kwitty Paye looked good again and Josh Uche had some huge moments as a blitzing linebacker. Always good to see the depth, though Rashan Gary’s health is a bit of a concern. Not as much for Michigan’s season but for his long term success as a football player for sure.

Evan: Just briefly since you mentioned the corners, yes they got more physical and improved as the game went on. But they should be playing that way from the start. If Don Brown wants to bring pressure the whole game, the corners have to play physical, man-to-man press coverage the whole game. That shouldn’t be a halftime adjustment, it should be the game plan.

I agree that Gary’s health is a concern for him as a player. It will be interesting to watch the next few weeks, especially with Michigan playing some games in the national spotlight. He has already fallen behind Nick Bosa and Ed Oliver on draft boards, and Clelin Ferrell is hot on his heels. If he can’t stay on the field, his draft stock will take a big hit.

Alex: I would hope they give his shoulder some rest this week since Michigan is not exactly playing a marquee opponent in Maryland. And also, Michigan will need Gary as close to 100% as he can possibly be for the big stretch against Wisconsin/MSU/PSU.

You brought up the offensive line in the opening and we should talk about that now. We talked a fair bit in last week’s article about Michigan facing a difficult front 7 in Northwestern, with Joe Gaziano being a factor in particular. Overall, the Wolverines did a pretty darn good job mitigating the Wildcats’ pass rush and keeping the pockets clean for Patterson. Now obviously Northwestern wasn’t blitzing a lot, which is the last hurdle to cross, but this at least makes me feel more confident in the lead up to the Wisconsin game.

Evan: I agree that it was refreshing to see the line perform well. Per Michael Spath, Michigan ran the football on 21 of 28 first downs against Northwestern. Karan Higdon had 17 of those carries for average of 4.9 YPC. On the first 11 runs, he averaged 7.3 yards per carry. On his final six first-down attempts, he averaged 0.5 YPC. U-M was 5 for 7 throwing on first down, 13.6 yards per attempt. That tells me a couple things: the line actually did a decent job of setting the tone in the run game, the offensive coaching staff had some semblance of a logical play script for the game, and Karan Higdon is good. I don’t know what the balance of those three things is, but regardless it was a good sign.

Alex: I will agree that play calling was generally pretty good in this contest, save for two particular calls: the 4th & 1 handoff to Higdon when Ben Mason still exists, and the goal line fade to GRANT PERRY of all receivers. But yeah, it was generally a pretty well called game by the offensive staff and there were certainly no James Franklin-like catastrophes.

Should we move onto Maryland?

Evan: You really don’t want me to talk about the holding call?

Alex: You can if you want but I don’t have a lot to say.
Picture
Karan Higdon got called for holding after recieving a fake handoff from Shea Patterson on an option play. Image via WolverinesWire
Evan: It’s BS. That’s what I have to say. Listen, if it were the first time Michigan got screwed on a terrible call, I’d say wow that sucks and move on. But how many times? The 2016 OSU game, and I’m not just talk about the spot. OSU had 0 live ball penalties. The Joe Bolden targeting call against MSU in 2015. The DPJ no-touchdown call against Wisconsin last year. Find me a game Michigan has played in, I’ll find you a terrible call that didn’t go Michigan's way. The worst part is that it always seems particularly bad when it’s a B1G Ten crew. The same crew that cheated Michigan out of a win in Columbus did Saturday’s game, so I can’t say I’m surprised. And for the conference to respond to Jim Harbaugh by basically saying, “Uh… sorry?”... I’m sick of it.

Alex: Well now that that’s over with, let’s talk about Maryland. The Terps are 3-1 with a rather perplexing resume, which includes a win over Texas but a loss to Temple. Anything that jumps out to you about this squad?

Evan: No. They’re very mediocre across the board. They don’t have much of a passing game offensively, and they’re spotty defensively. They look like a team that doesn’t have its coach… and well, they don’t.

Alex: For those who aren’t familiar, their coach DJ Durkin is in purgatory and will likely be fired for being a psycho who was largely responsible for the death of offensive lineman Jordan McNair in the offseason.

But yeah, Maryland is not a good team. They’re not Rutgers, or Nebraska for that matter. But they also aren’t good. This should be another easy win. Though of course, we said that last week.

Evan: Yeah, we did. I am curious to see if this might be a home-away thing. If they come out with great energy the next two weeks but flat against MSU, I’ll think this is just a team that struggles on the road. Regardless, I am not anticipating a close game Saturday.

Alex: Shall we do predictions then… thing to watch, score, and MVP?

Evan: Yes but you’re going first.

Alex: I’m watching for Patterson to have a bounce back game after a shaky performance vs. Northwestern. He’s almost looked his worst when he has time to throw and if the offensive line can give him a clean pocket, I’d like to see him take advantage of that and have another lights out game like he had versus Northwestern. For MVP, I’m taking Chase Winovich. And for prediction, I’m going to take Michigan 38-10.

Evan: I’m watching for two things, the two things I talked most about in this article: how fast Michigan starts and whether or not the refs continue to screw them over. I think the MVP will be Khaleke Hudson. He has the chance to play his first full game since the matchup with Western in week 2, and I’m guessing he makes a statement.

I told you earlier this week that this week would be very tough to predict. I still don’t have a good feel for how this game will go. I’m going to base my prediction off of the fact that Maryland doesn’t have any passing game: Michigan 41-7.
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