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NBA Mock Draft 3.0 It’s Finally Time

6/20/2018

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By: Lucas Vargas

NBA Mock Draft 1.0 Pre-NBA Combine
NBA Mock Draft 2.0 Post NBA Combine/Post Early Entry Deadline

The NBA Draft is finally here and anything could happen between now and 7:00 PM ET on Thursday night. The Atlanta Hawks may be coming to their senses after reports indicate they are seriously targeting Luka Doncic. Michael Porter Jr. and Trae Young are wild cards that could fall anywhere inside the lottery. I expect several trades to go down especially for the Memphis and Cleveland picks. Atlanta and Philadelphia have the most picks to work with to execute moves but even teams like Toronto could be in the market. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander made a big jump into the top 10 and Jerome Robinson looks to go mid-first round. We are in for an exciting night, here are my final predictions (barring any pre-draft trades) as we head into the 2018 NBA Draft.


1. Phoenix Suns: Deandre Ayton, Arizona Wildcats, Center, Age 19
Ayton averaged 20.1 PPG and 11.6 RPG in his lone season at Arizona. A man among boys that dominated on the offensive end of the floor, the former Wildcat shouldn’t have to travel far to find his NBA destination. The athletic center immediately fills the most glaring hole on Phoenix’s roster and will continue the infusion of young talent into the Suns’ organization. He possesses the inside and outside skills of today’s dream NBA big man, and should see the paint open up with the threat of Devin Booker’s 3-point shot. Ayton is already signing Phoenix jerseys and is clearly confident that he will be the first player taken.

2. Sacramento Kings: Marvin Bagley III, Duke, Power Forward, Age 19  
Bagley averaged 21 PPG and 11 RPG at Duke with athleticism that jumped off the page and a great ability to run to the rim in transition. His athleticism is complemented by a high energy level on the offensive end. He has a solid repertoire of post moves but needs serious development of his skills and instincts on the defensive side of the ball, where he looked lost at times, especially against ball screens. This pick could also help the Kings form an incredibly dangerous pick and roll combo of Bagley and point guard De’Aaron Fox. Bagley wants to be taken here by Sacramento, not something every prospect desires.

3. Atlanta Hawks: Luka Doncic, Real Madrid, Guard, Age 19
Latest reports indicate that Atlanta may have their eyes set on Luka Doncic. The crafty Slovenian is 6’8”, can handle the ball, and create his own shot. Doncic has the fundamentals down and can do anything he is asked to do as a playmaker, facilitator, or scorer. Doncic is a winner that led his Real Madrid team to the Euroleague championship and has the mindset I would want from someone my franchise would have the opportunity to take. His “lack of athleticism” is overblown and made up for by his array of skill. For as much as big men are dominating the top of the draft, the league is focused on players similar to Doncic in size and skill. Potential to be the best player in the draft.  

4. Memphis Grizzlies: Jaren Jackson Jr., Michigan State, Power Forward/Center, Age 18
Jaren Jackson Jr. can stretch the floor and protect the rim. Jackson still has a long way to go as a basketball player starting with mental engagement, but it’s impossible to deny that he has one of the draft’s biggest upsides. Jackson failed to dominate the collegiate level quite like he was capable of, maybe because he was disinterested with game at times . He is viewed as somewhat of a soft player which must change if he is to pay off as a top 5 pick in the NBA. If he falls to Memphis, he is the eventual replacement for Marc Gasol, but he will also be needed immediately as the primes of Gasol and Mike Conley Jr. are rapidly winding down. Memphis could look to trade this pick, especially if Doncic is gone.

5. Dallas Mavericks: Mohamed Bamba, Texas, Center, Age 19
I think Bamba projects as a player similar to Clint Capela with more athleticism and the potential to develop some sort of catch and shoot jump shot. Bamba can be an elite shot blocker with his 7’10” wingspan and freakish mobility shown by his 3.04 ¾ court time recently recorded at a workout with the Bulls. He has a slim frame and doesn’t have the strength to bang in the post so he could be susceptible to getting bullied by opposing bigs. Strength and engagement on the court are the two areas of need for Bamba, but he has the athleticism and potential to be a top 5 pick. With Dennis Smith Jr. and Rick Carlisle, Bamba would be set up for success in Dallas.

6. Orlando Magic: Michael Porter Jr., Missouri, Small Forward, Age 19
Porter Jr. is the draft’s biggest mystery because of how little we got to see him this past season due to a back injury that limited him to just three total games. Headlines surrounding a hip injury add more question marks. If he is at full health the Magic get the wing talent they need to build around. Porter Jr. was a projected number 1 pick less than a year ago because he can score from anywhere on the court. I think the Magic should take him over Trae Young with their eyes set on the future and the fact that The NBA revolves around scoring wings. Orlando has time to let him get healthy.

7. Chicago Bulls: Wendell Carter Jr., Duke, Center, Age 19
Carter can hold his own physically on the low block at 260 pounds. He should have a long career as a capable starter thanks to a solid foundation of skill and talent. Carter could slide in nicely beside Markkanen and solve the Bulls’ need at center. Additionally, he has a high basketball IQ, which sets him apart from several kids his age. Carter is a safe pick for a franchise that finds themselves in the top half of the lottery.

8. Cleveland Cavaliers: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kentucky, Point Guard, Age 19
Gilgeous-Alexander takes a big jump to the #8 spot in this mock draft because of his length at the point guard position. The Canadian stands 6’ 6” with a 7’ 0” wingspan, which would be a challenge for opposing point guards to match up with and gives Gilgeous-Alexander defensive flexibility that few can provide. He is incredibly smooth around the rim and comfortable running the pick and roll. He will have to keep improving, but the ceiling is there. This pick could easily be traded but that trade could be for a team looking to move up for the Kentucky product.

9. New York Knicks: Mikal Bridges, Villanova, Small Forward, Age 21
Bridges is an NBA ready 3 and D wing that could complete a young core alongside Tim Hardaway, Jr. and Kristaps Porzingis. Bridges knows what it takes to win games thanks to his time at Villanova and plays the game technically sound with a high level of effort. The Knicks may want to take a flashy point guard, but Bridges solves so many problems right away. I couldn’t defend the Knicks passing up on Bridges if he is available at #9. The Knicks should avoid taking a point guard with the hopes that Kyrie Irving seriously considers them as a destination in 2019.

10. Philadelphia 76ers: Kevin Knox, Kentucky, Small Forward/Power Forward, Age 18
Knox has been in for workouts with the Sixers who seem interested at taking a wing with their lottery pick. He is another versatile wing who could take time to reach his full potential but flashes the raw skills that NBA teams love. For a 6’ 9” wing, Knox brings a solid jumper, but needs improvement on his rebounding intensity. The Sixers have time to work with him to reach his ceiling.

11. Charlotte Hornets: Collin Sexton, Alabama, Point Guard, Age 19
Sexton carried his Alabama team to the NCAA Tournament and brings intensity and scoring to the offensive end of the floor. He will compete at all times while playing with a chip on his shoulder. If the Hornets want to draft a point guard, Sexton should be the selection.

12. Los Angeles Clippers: Trae Young, Oklahoma, Point Guard, Age 19
An elite shot creator and shot maker, Trae Young is an excellent passer that could step into a rebuilding roster. He is undersized and extremely ball dominant but he has the offensive skills to be an NBA point guard. Young could go anywhere in the lottery depending on who believes in him or not. Teams could trade around to select him.

13. Los Angeles Clippers: Lonnie Walker IV, Miami, Shooting Guard, Age 19
Austin Rivers is not the long term answer at shooting guard and Walker could slide in with Trae Young as more of a slashing guard. He is an explosive guard that may need time to pan out. Boom or bust.

14. Denver Nuggets: Miles Bridges, Michigan State, Small Forward, Age 20
Bridges would join a team that is looking to jump into the playoffs with a young star in Nikola Jokic. Miles Bridges has the body to hold his own in the NBA from a physical standpoint and must use that to compete. He improved his jump shot last year at Michigan State but can’t fall in love with it. His strength is attacking the rim and using his powerful athleticism to his advantage. Denver would get nice value out of this pick and not require Bridges to be a dominant ball handler.

15. Washington Wizards:  Robert Williams, Texas A&M, Center, Age 20
Williams could be similar to another former Aggie in DeAndre Jordan. Williams is an above the rim athlete that could fit into the NBA as a pick and roll center. He is physically ready but his effort level must improve from college for him to be that kind of energy player.

16. Phoenix Suns: Aaron Holiday, UCLA, Point Guard, Age 21
That’s right, Holiday is headed to the NBA.  The younger brother of Jrue and Justin, Aaron Holiday has the experience and scoring ability to provide instant backcourt depth on a team likely to lose Elfrid Payton. There won’t be a steep learning curve with Holiday, who could get big minutes right away at point guard.

17. Milwaukee Bucks: Troy Brown, Oregon, Shooting Guard/Small Forward, Age 18
Brown brings the versatility, size, and athleticism that the Bucks have made a culture out of in Milwaukee. He needs to work on his jump shot, but the opportunity is there to play over Tony Snell.

18. San Antonio Spurs: Zhaire Smith, Texas Tech, Shooting Guard, Age 18
Smith flew under the radar at Texas Tech, but shot up draft boards with elite athleticism and defensive potential. His in game dunks are worth watching and he has a foundation for a catch-and-shoot 3 point shot. The Spurs have the ability to develop his raw skills and make him a two-way contributor. I think this would be a great match.

19. Atlanta Hawks: Jerome Robinson, Boston College, Shooting Guard, Age 21
Jerome Robinson is a talented scorer coming off a season where he averaged 20.7 PPG at Boston College. Atlanta’s second first-round selection could improve their guard depth and provide them with a player who is used to carrying the scoring load against premier ACC talent. He should be a steady offensive player for whoever selects him.

20. Minnesota Timberwolves: Khyri Thomas, Creighton, Shooting Guard, Age 21
Thomas is a 3-and-D guard that could help the Timberwolves capitalize on the roster they have right now as they look to take another step in the right direction.  He was a two-time Big East Defensive Player of the Year which makes him very appealing to Tom Thibodeau.

21. Utah Jazz: Donte DiVincenzo, Villanova, Shooting Guard, Age 21
After dropping 31 points off the bench in the Wildcats’ championship-clinching win, DiVincenzo showed out at the NBA Combine and cemented himself in the first round conversation.  Utah would value his shooting, ability to defend, and basketball IQ, as well as the displayed ability to create his own shot off the dribble. He’d be a great fit in Utah.

22. Chicago Bulls: Chandler Hutchison, Boise State, Small Forward, Age 22
Chandler Hutchison has inside and outside scoring ability and would be a nice fit thanks to his versatility as a combo forward. A team around the early 20’s has reportedly promised to take him and there are indications that could be Chicago.

23. Indiana Pacers: Kevin Huerter, Maryland, Shooting Guard, Age 19
Huerter shot up draft boards after the NBA combine and elected to remain in the draft. He is an outstanding shooter with great size at 6’7”. Teams will be hoping to get a player similar to Klay Thompson with Huerter, which may be a stretch of the imagination. However, Heurter possess a solid feel for the game and knows how to move without the ball. He won’t have to be a primary ball handler or shot creator with Oladipo in town, and the combo could help the Pacers take another step. He recently underwent right hand surgery, but that shouldn’t impact his stock.

24. Portland Trail Blazers: Josh Okogie, Georgia Tech, Shooting Guard, Age 19
Okogie had a strong season at Georgia Tech, where he averaged 18.2 PPG while shooting 38% from 3. He would immediately provide depth scoring and strong defense for a Blazers team that can’t let the Lillard and McCollum era go to waste.

25. Los Angeles Lakers: Mitchell Robinson, Center, Age 20
Robinson is in a bizarre situation after he left Western Kentucky shortly after arriving on campus. He was a McDonald’s All American out of high school, and as an athletic 7-footer, he may be worth the risk for the Lakers at 25.

26. Philadelphia 76ers: Dzanan Musa, KK Cedevita, Small Forward, Age 19
Musa brings streaky shooting to Philly and intends to come to the NBA right away. He is a very young prospect that would need some time to acclimate to the American game and learn how to be primarily an off-ball player. The 76ers though, have several draft picks, and can afford to make some moves or draft some long term foreign pieces.

27. Boston Celtics: Jalen Brunson, Villanova, Point Guard, Age 21
Another Villanova guard that will be discounted by many, Brunson is still a point guard that led 2 national championship runs. He is a cerebral point guard that brings a physical style along with shotmaking ability. He can defend, distribute, and get his teammates involved. Brunson knows how to run an offense and play off the ball. The Celtics may not financially be able to keep Marcus Smart of Terry Rozier, potentially leaving Brunson as the next reserve guard for Brad Stevens.

28. Golden State Warriors: Jacob Evans, Cincinnati, Shooting Guard, Age 20
Evans is an intense defender that can match up across guards and wings. He projects as a 3-and-D player that would slide onto the Golden State bench.

29. Brooklyn Nets: Omari Spellman, Villanova, Power Forward, Age 20
Spellman was a matchup nightmare in college as a 6’9” 245 pound power forward that could shoot 3s, attack off the dribble, post up, and crash the glass. He is physical and strong enough to compete in the NBA, and he has already been in school for 2 years. He would give the Nets valuable and versatile size to end the first round.

30. Atlanta Hawks: Melvin Frazier, Tulane, Shooting Guard, Age 21
Frazier can score and defend from the wing, but needs some development. Frazier measured and competed well at the combine to jump into the late first/early second round conversation. If he plays hard and continues to improve, he can provide energy off the bench.

31. Phoenix Suns: Keita Bates-Diop, Ohio State, Small Forward, Age 22
32. Memphis Grizzlies: Grayson Allen, Duke, Shooting Guard, Age 22
33. Dallas Mavericks: Moritz Wagner, Michigan, Power Forward, Age 21
34. Atlanta Hawks: Elie Okobo, France, Point Guard, Age 20
35. Orlando Magic: Anfernee Simons, IMG Academy, Point Guard, Age 18
36. New York Knicks: De’Anthony Melton, USC, Point Guard, Age 19
37. Sacramento Kings: Bruce Brown, Miami, Shooting Guard, Age 21
38. Philadelphia 76ers: Jevon Carter, West Virginia, Point Guard, Age 22
39. Philadelphia 76ers: Rodions Kurucs, Barcelona, Small Forward, Age 20
40. Brooklyn Nets: Jarred Vanderbilt, Kentucky, Small Forward, Age 19
41. Orlando Magic: Gary Trent Jr., Duke, Small Forward, Age 19
42. Detroit Pistons: Shake Milton, SMU, Point Guard, Age 21
43. Denver Nuggets: Vince Edwards, Purdue, Power Forward, Age 22
44. Washington Wizards: Malik Newman, Kansas, Point Guard, Age 21
45. Brooklyn Nets: Rawle Alkins, Arizona, Shooting Guard, Age 20
46. Houston Rockets: Justin Jackson, Maryland, Small Forward, Age 21
47. Los Angeles Lakers: Landry Shamet, Wichita State, Shooting Guard, Age 21
48. Minnesota Timberwolves: Tony Carr, Penn State, Point Guard, Age 20
49. San Antonio Spurs: Kevin Hervey, UT-Arlington, Power Forward, Age 21
50. Indiana Pacers: Svi Mykhailiuk, Kansas, Small Forward, Age 20
51. New Orleans Pelicans: Hamidou Diallo, Kentucky, Shooting Guard, Age 19
52. Utah Jazz: Chimezie Metu, USC, Power Forward, Age 21
53. Oklahoma City Thunder: Devonte Graham, Kansas, Point Guard, 23
54. Dallas Mavericks: Ray Spalding, Louisville, Power Forward, Age 21
55. Charlotte Hornets: Devon Hall, Virginia, Shooting Guard, Age 22
56. Philadelphia 76ers: Allonzo Trier, Arizona, Point Guard, Age 22
57. Oklahoma City Thunder: Kenrich Williams, TCU. Small Forward, Age 23
58. Denver Nuggets: Billy Preston, Kansas, Center, Age 20
59. Phoenix Suns: Trevon Duval, Duke, Point Guard, Age 19
60. Philadelphia 76ers: Isaac Bonga, Germany, Small Forward, Age 19

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NBA Draft Preview and Big Board

6/19/2018

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​By: Adam Rich

     ​To the casual fan, the NBA has become too predictable. Seems inevitable when the same two teams meet in the finals for four consecutive years. But despite this stigma, the NBA has had an incredible past few years. Between budding young stars, Lebron James’ individual dominance, and the high scoring affairs that have come hand-in-hand with the pace and space era, the league has broadened its footprint overseas and domestically, as evidenced by the expanding revenue the league collects. However, the excitement that is the regular season pales in comparison to the NBA’s silly season, as Doc Rivers once dubbed it: the period between the conclusion of the finals and the start of training camp in the fall. But before the summer of The Decision Part III kicks into hyperspeed, teams must look to the future (and/or the present) in Brooklyn this year, at the 2018 NBA Draft. To prep followers for the draft, several draft-based questions are poised and answered below, in addition to a top-sixty big board and links to recent WCBN mock drafts.

     Before jumping all the way in, I'll begin with a disclaimer on the incoming rookies: while some of these prospects won't pan out, it is important before analyzing them to recognize how immensely talented they all are. However, as noted, the unfortunate reality is that not all draft picks provide the expected value of their draft slot. Often, prospects are failed by their environment and those around them. Subsequently, for the majority of these young men, their careers will be dependent on the instruction they receive, the roles they are thrust into, and the organizations they play for. And with that, let's get underway with the questions
​1. Who is the best prospect?
 
     Personally, this one is a no-brainer. Luka Doncic is the top prospect in this draft by a landslide. At 6’8 and 220 pounds, Doncic has the size of a wing paired with the ball handling, shooting, passing, and decision-making skills of a guard. On top of the guard skills he possesses, which teams crave in the modern NBA, Doncic has an excellent basketball IQ, and has been playing professionally in Spain since the age of 16 for Real Madrid. This year, at age 19, all he has done is win Euroleague MVP, lead Real Madrid to the Euroleague title, and is in the process of commanding his squad en route to the Spanish league title. Concerns exist regarding his athleticism, individual defense, and shooting form, but in my opinion these are overblown. While his shooting form does leave a little to be desired, Doncic displays excellent touch around the rim, and will be capable of reworking his shot under the tutelage of NBA coaching. ​
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​     Athletically, Doncic still has baby fat to shed, and compensates for his relative lack of athleticism with excellent instincts and usage of angles on both ends of the floor. Defensively, this high IQ works in his favor as well, as he proved mostly capable of holding his own against the best competition in Europe. And while it is easy to discount the overseas competition Doncic faced night in and night out, it still puts collegiate talent to shame, as most in Europe were formerly high level division one basketball players, many of whom had stints in the NBA. If the club season wasn’t enough to convince you, Doncic led Slovenia to the Eurobasket Championship last summer. On his way to the championship, Doncic squared off against proven NBA players Evan Fournier (Magic, France) and Ricky Rubio (Jazz, Spain), while also sharing a court with Kristaps Porzingis (Knicks, Latvia) from whom he drew high praise. Based on his success and skill level, Doncic is arguably the most accomplished prospect since Anthony Davis in 2012, and is in my opinion the clear cut top prospect in this year’s draft.  

Full Doncic Scouting Report: ​https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vUF-kH7CvWQ
​​2. So then will Doncic be selected first?
 
     Despite my adoration for the Slovenian star, NBA teams seem to disagree. In all likelihood, the Phoenix Suns will select Arizona’s Deandre Ayton first overall. Why? Well Ayton had a monster year at Arizona, averaging 20 points and ten rebounds per game amidst the chaos of the FBI’s pay-for-play investigation.
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​     A physical freak at 7’1, 260 pounds, Ayton checks the majority the boxes of modern NBA center. An agile and fluid athlete, polished in the post, and with terminator-like size, all Ayton lacks are instincts on the defensive end, but at merely 19 years old the Suns are betting he will learn quickly and alongside Devin Booker, become as Ayton declared following his Suns workout, “the next Kobe and Shaq.” Additionally, the Suns have a glaring roster hole at center they’d like to fill with youth rather than the myriad of older options in free agency. 

Ayton: ​https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rJ8hEttrFco
​​3. Why the discrepancy?
 
     While Ayton’s tools and upside scream star, the NBA is moving rapidly away from big men, and Ayton (through no fault of his own) was born ten years too late. In the switch-happy postseason, centers, aside from Anthony Davis, played around twenty minutes per game. Assuming this trend continues and intensifies in an exponential manner as it has in recent years, teams should stop fawning over big men and shift their focus and draft board rankings towards strong-shooting and versatile wings and guards. The best example in the league is the Houston Rockets, who have been at the forefront of analytical thinking behind general manager Daryl Morey. The Rockets stocked their roster with combo guards and versatile wings, opting to maximize their three point attempts and all but cut out mid range shots from their diets (save for mid-range maestro Chris Paul). While the Warriors swept the Cavs, the Rockets were a Chris Paul hamstring injury and/or a few made three pointers in game seven away from reaching The Finals. And while their roster does boast likely max-player Clint Capela, an athletic and smart center who has added incredible amounts of skill to his game, he found himself on the bench behind 6’8 shooting wings for key stretches against the Warriors. 
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​     Despite the increasing analytics presence, many teams still have ‘old-timers’ running the show who appear resistant to the simple math that shooting 35 percent from three is more valuable than shooting as high as 50 percent from inside the arc based on recent mock drafts. While the top bigs do have the capability and potential to become plus shooters from long range, they will all likely struggle some playing perimeter defense and 
preventing other teams from launching those valuable threes. In my opinion, non-Doncic teams would be better served trading down into the draft to select equally high-upside players such as Kevin Knox (ideal stretch four) and Lonnie Walker (freakishly athletic combo guard with a high degree of off-guard skills) in addition to nabbing future picks. But despite the aforementioned logic, Ayton to the Suns is all but a lock, as they are the only team he has worked out for and practically pre-anointed himself the top pick following his pre-draft workout.
4. Aside from the top two, who are the lottery guys with the most upside?

Here, I opted to check out the top guys I considered to be the most boom or bust.
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​
Jaren Jackson Jr/Mo Bamba/Marvin Bagley
 
Since these are the names you have likely heard, I’ll keep things relatively brief. All three, like Ayton, are freaks of nature on the basketball court. Uber athletic with decent to above-average shooting strokes and oozing with upside, all three will likely go in the top five. Jackson and Bamba are the rawest of the three, with no true signature skill being possessed to ease their transition to the league. For Bagley, he can come in instantly and be a force on the offensive glass, as he possesses the best second jump of any prospect in recent memory. Jackson and Bamba’s learning curves will be steep, but both have the physical tools and intelligence to succeed at the next level, along with developing shots and toughness. Of the three, I have Bagley ranked the highest on my board. While teams may worry about him being a tweener on defense, Bagley has the highest motor of the three, although he tended to relax on defense sometimes. At the next level, where he will likely carry less of a load on offense and not have to play every minute, As a result, Bagley will have more energy to expend on defense, optimally at the center position. There, he will flash his energy and athleticism, assuming he rapidly improves his instincts under NBA coaching. Keep in mind, teams should be incredibly patient with these three, as they are 18, 20, and 19 respectively.
 
Jackson: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A7yQ7wmPzC0
Bamba: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dFfpHvax-W0
Bagley: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HRgD7MoG2d8
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Kevin Knox
 
I’ll begin by saying Kevin Knox did not have a very good year at Kentucky. However, at 18 years old, standing 6’9 with a 7-foot wingspan, Kevin Knox could became a steal of the late lottery if he lands in the right situation. Albeit only a 34% shooter from deep in college, Knox was Kentucky’s top shooter from long range and their go-to scorer late in game (see: dropping 34 points in Morgantown of all places). On a team lacking guard and wing depth, Knox was forced into playing strictly the 3, a spot at which he struggled as a result of his below average foot speed and first step for the position. To make matters worse, Knox could not easily go to work inside and utilize his old school game because Kentucky clogged the lane with two non-shooting seven-footers. While the year was up-and-down for Knox, he did develop some guard skills such as running around screens and attacking off the catch, which will prove valuable at the next level where his new team will likely slot him at the 4. Knox has been mocked to New York, and would be an excellent long term fit beside Kristaps Porzingis as the prototypical stretch four.

Knox: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ts9LVEfJQFE
 

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Collin Sexton
 
‘The young-bull,’ like Knox, also had an up-and-down year as the lead guard for Avery Johnson’s Alabama Crimson Tide. Surrounded by poor shooters and operating on a cramped court, Sexton often found himself playing in close quarters, unable to get to the rim despite blowing by his primary defender. At the next level, and assuming he finds himself in strong situation, sexton won’t run into help defenders as frequently, and will be able to utilize his enormous bag of tricks around the rim. Sexton is also a decent passer, but his ceiling is dependent on his ability to improve shooting the basketball. By upping his percentages from long range and honing his off-the dribble pull-up moves, Sexton will prevent defenders from sagging off and daring him to shoot, which will open up a world off possibilities for him to attack downhill. Despite the tools he already possesses, the best reasons to bet on Sexton are his world-class work ethic and his passion for the game. That, and remember that time he nearly beat Minnesota 5-on-3.

Sexton: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7tCD_aMCOK8
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​​5. Who’s the best player I’ve never heard of?
 
     I considered France’s Elie Okobo or Bosnia’s Dzanan Musa, but my choice for the best, unheralded player is Boston College’s Jerome Robinson. A pure combo guard, the 6’5 Robinson excels at getting buckets, and put up a whopping thirty points against Virginia’s top ranked defense. While defense is a bit of a concern for teams selecting Robinson, he was invited to the draft’s green room, a sign he will go at around the 20th pick or earlier. Whoever gets Robinson will acquire a plug-and-play scorer who has a nifty arsenal of scoring moves and a 41 percent shot from deep.

Robinson: ​https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bFpgxzbZcPQ
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​​6. Is that kid who trips everyone in this draft?
 
     Why yes, Grayson Allen (Ted Cruz? If you don’t know, google the two of them) did finally graduate from Duke and could go anywhere from around 25-40 in this years draft. While Allen has a poor reputation among casual and Carolina fans for his sophomore and junior year antics, he is an excellent player and leader. In fact, he is actually considered by Coach K and teammates as very humble and generally reserved. Allen wowed teams in interviews with his poise and intelligence, while quieting concerns regarding his demeanor. In terms of playing ability, I think Grayson Allen will be a late round steal. While it makes sense that a 19 year old is further from their ceiling that a 22 year old, a 22 year old with Allen’s athletic, shooting, and leadership abilities has the capability to enter the league, contribute immediately, and in my opinion become a league average starter at the two guard position. 

Allen: ​https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gI-nlFOhbiM
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​7. And that Young kid ESPN couldn’t stop talking about?
 
      Well, he cooled off in the second half of the season, but much of that can be attributed to the ineptitude of his teammates. Luckily for Young, the surrounding talent will be more serviceable at the next level, and should make him shine even more. A pick-and-roll maestro, Young mixes every dribble move in the book with crafty drives and an incredible finishing array even without considering his lack of size at the NBA level. From deep, Young shoots and frequently makes rainbow threes reminiscent of Steph Curry’s, which has led to more frequent comparisons between the two. Young’s ceiling in the league will depend on his improvement on defense, where at times he showed no effort this season. Young, however, is an incredibly smart player, exhibited by his fast-break reads and half-court dimes, and should be able to translate his high iQ to the defensive end of the floor to compensate for his limitations in stature.  

​​Young: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B_4PP_KVzus
8. Who are the biggest wildcards?
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Michael Porter Jr

Porter, who spent almost his entire season with an injured back barely played for Missouri this year. However, Porter spent the most time of any prospects the past few summers on the AAU circuit and at respective top prospect camps. In his brief time playing for Missouri, Porter looked out of rhythm and stiff, however this was to be expected coming off the injury and rushing the rehab process to help his team in March. In evaluating Porter, teams will have to judge his performances (which were excellent) against the top high school competition in addition to his medical reports, which he and his agent have gladly given out to prove his health. Porter could go anywhere from 2nd to 7th, and whoever rolls the dice on the dynamic combo forward will be betting on his back not deterring his career.

Porter: ​https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a8YrK5ket18
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​Anfernee Simmons

The first of two high schoolers to be discussed, Simmons was a consensus top-ten recruit for the high school class of 2019.  So why isn’t he getting any high level looks? Well, for starters, next year’s likely draft crop is much worse than this years. Secondly, Simmons has not faced the competition others in the draft class have, and has as a result not had equal opportunity to prove himself. A talented scorer, scouts will have to determine how much his scoring will translate to the next level. Additionally, Simmons will have a steep learning curve, as despite being older than several college and international prospects, he is very raw both athletically and skill-wise. To excel at the next level, and I believe he can, Simmons will need a patient situation. Assuming they don’t trade down to select Trae Young, Simmons would be an excellent fit for the Hawks at 30.

Simmons: ​https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YsBSne7kb9c
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Mitchell Robinson

The second ‘high-schooler’ technically, Robinson dropped out of Western Kentucky after about a day-and-a-half without announcing the reasoning behind his decision. At 7-feet tall, Robinson has immense potential as a rim-running, shot-blocking big. In workouts, he also displayed a developed shooting touch, which would only add to his skillset. Executives and scouts will evaluate Robinson similar to the ways they analyze Michael Porter. However, Porter was a more highly touted recruit out of high school and possesses skills more desirable in the modern NBA. Mitchell could be an incredible steal in the late-first round, however between his lack of high level experience and the league shying away from big-men, Robinson is the largest wildcard in this draft.

Robinson: ​https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9a4GU7SvUEc
9. How should Cleveland approach the draft?
 
     Whether Lebron James stays or goes, Cleveland should take either Trae Young or Michael Porter Jr., whichever is left on the board. Odds are one of them is, however assuming they go beforehand to the Magic and Bulls respectively, I think Cleveland should take Collin Sexton, the player left on the board with the greatest star potential who also fills a need for the team with or without Lebron in town. 
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Lastly, here is the top 60 big board. Despite the stacked top of the draft (Relative minimal differentiation between prospects 2-8), it is the depth of the class that has executives salivating. With numerous 3-and-D wings and combo forwards filling spots 16-38, the league will welcome a myriad of players tailor made for the modern NBA. And to find out where all of said player's are going, check out Lucas Vargas' Mock Draft 3.0 ​right here at http://www.wcbnsports.org/blog/nba-mock-draft-30-its-finally-time


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What in the world is going on with the Detroit Tigers?

6/18/2018

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By: Alex Drain

Entering 2018, optimism within the Detroit baseball fan community was close to a 15 year low. The dreadful close to 2017 had left Tigers’ fans with a bitter taste in their mouths. Would the 2018 squad come close to 2003’s 43-119 team? Now that speculation was always misguided, but it was assumed that this team would come close to 100 losses, if not exceed it. After all, last year’s team ended the year 24-47 in their final 71 games.

Well here we are on June 18, 2018, and the Tigers are 35-37, just 2.5 games out of first in the AL Central. That latter part is more a testament to how atrocious the AL Central is this year than anything else, but the 35-37 record is astonishing. So just how in the world did this squad turn things around? Let’s go through a few reasons:

The starting pitching is a lot better
The September 2017 Detroit starting rotation consisted of some combination of Myles Jaye, Matt Boyd, Buck Farmer, The Artist Formerly Known As Anibal Sanchez, Daniel Norris, and Chad Bell. It was really, really ugly. This year’s rotation has improved by a lot, from a combination of internal growth and free agent signings. You have to start with the presence of Matt Boyd, who was bad last year, and Michael Fulmer, who was hurt late last year. Boyd has benefitted from new pitching coach Chris Bosio more than anyone else. He’s throwing the slider more often than he has in the past and it’s resulted in the best numbers of his career: a 3.23 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 7 K/9, 3.86 FIP, 2.3 WAR. He’s emerged as an above average #3 starter and that has elevated the team. Michael Fulmer is also a story. He’s had an up and down year, tinkering with his stuff, but his last two starts have been lights out and on the whole, he’s still miles better than anything Detroit had late last year.

But also helping the squad out has been the signings of Mike Fiers and Francisco Liriano. Both were signed for one reason: to be traded. The classic low cost veteran reclamation project is a smart idea for any rebuilding team and Al Avila played it perfectly. Liriano and Fiers have both put up durable, back-end caliber numbers for the team. The most stunning thing has been Blaine Hardy. The former lefty reliever has been remastered as a starting pitcher and in his last six starts has a 3.31 ERA. Who knows how much longer it can last, but he’s been a revelation.

Bullpen Contributors
The emergence of Joe Jimenez and Louis Coleman (!!!!) can’t be ignored, either. A year ago, Joe Jimenez had a rough go in the MLB, losing his command and getting hit hard. This year, he’s one of the MLB’s best relievers. He has a 2.04 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP with over 10 K/9 innings. Even better, in his last 15 appearances, he’s surrendered 1 run in 14.2 innings, with 20 strikeouts. He’s currently tied with Edwin Diaz for the most appearances in the MLB, at 38. Just unstoppable. Louis Coleman, a journeyman reliever with good years in his past has also emerged as an asset for the Tigers. He’s now appeared in over 15 games for the team, with a 2.37 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP, with close to 11 K/9 innings. Coleman has settled in as an excellent 7th inning man. Those two lead up to Shane Greene, who still has frustrating inconsistency, but since May 1, has been a plus closer and logging a ton of innings. With the usually steady Alex Wilson now healthy, the Tigers might have (gasp) a good bullpen.

Attention to detail
The Tigers in the Brad Ausmus era were often defined by considerable talent but sloppy play. This has reversed under Ron Gardenhire. No one is going to argue that a team starting Dixon Machado, JaCoby Jones, John Hicks, and James McCann/Grayson Greiner is really talented. But they do the little things well. BsR, a sabermetric stat by FanGraphs looking at baserunning, has the Tigers at 7.3, best in the AL and #2 in the MLB. A year ago, the Tigers were -19.8, last in the MLB. Defense is a similar story. No matter what metric you look at, be it DRS, UZR, or another sabermetric of your choice, Detroit has improved relative to the league substantially. Some of the change may be players with better skill sets for defense/fielding, but unquestionably it has to do with a managing style stressing attention to detail.

Can this all continue?
Probably not. I hate to be a killjoy, but things continuing at this pace is unlikely. The team will go through slumps and play tougher teams, but that doesn’t mean everything will revert to 2017. I think Matt Boyd’s improvement and the breakouts of Jimenez and Jeimer Candelario are here to stay. But I do expect some reversion to the mean from guys like John Hicks and Louis Coleman. Additionally, the trade deadline stands in the way. The Tigers are almost certain to trade Leonys Martin and Francisco Liriano (if he’s healthy) in July, no matter the return, since they are on one year deals. Mike Fiers could go too, if there’s a market. Would they consider moving Boyd if the return is high enough? Who knows. Shane Greene will likely be on the market, as will Jose Iglesias. While the front office has to like the surprising success of the team, they also are committed to a rebuild and the purpose of signing Martin, Fiers, and Liriano was to trade them. Expect the team to take a dip after that. But even a coming back to earth will still likely be a level of play few Tigers’ fans thought was possible this season. And between the emergence of a cornerstone third baseman (Candelario) and a closer of the future (Jimenez), along with strong showings from trade chips, this season really couldn’t realistically have gone any better so far.
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An American's Guide: One Reason Why Every Nation Could Win the World Cup

6/14/2018

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By: Lucas Vargas

This year the United States opted to tank for draft picks instead of qualify for the World Cup. The Americans were a team stuck in the no man’s land of the second round. This day and age, you’re either all in or all out and The Red, White, and Blue had no choice but to go all out and hope to land the number one overall pick. That said, The World Cup must go on and it’s time for soccer fans to learn why every nation has a chance to win it all this summer.

Group A

Russia
The Russians are led by striker Fedor Smolov and carry the hopes of a nation that basically qualified for the World Cup because they are the host country. That has to be their biggest advantage, and history has shown us the value that home field has for the Russians (Battle of Stalingrad). Who knows what Putin has working behind the scenes.

Saudi Arabia
The Saudis are on their third coach in less than a year which means they carry the element of surprise. A group of players used to playing together such as Yahya Al Shehri have been fortunate enough to learn 3 different systems and can combine what works. Meanwhile, opposing coaches will be kept guessing on a game plan. Let’s see what Juan Antonio Pizzi and The Green Falcons are able to do.

Egypt
You build a pyramid brick by brick and you win soccer games goal by goal. The big question mark is the shoulder injury to Mohamed Salah. Lucky for him and his team, soccer is played with your feet. In a country filled with camels, it’s time to find out if Egypt can get over the hump in a weak group.

Uruguay
Edinson Cavani and Luis Suarez should be able to score more than enough goals to advance to the knockout stage. From there anything can happen.

Group B

Portugal
Cristiano Ronaldo needs to look at his watch and decide that it’s time to make a run in the World Cup. With one of the most electric players in the game, Portugal has hope. After failure to advance out of the group stage in the 2014 World Cup this team has played with a sense of urgency highlighted by the Euro 2016 victory. This year has all the signs of a last chance for the Portuguese.

Spain
Spain just fired their coach, Julen Lopetegui the day before the World Cup. That’s a bold move if I’ve ever seen one and forces the other 31 teams to throw out the years of scouting reports they’ve collected. For everyone who doubts a championship is possible, look no further than the 1989 Michigan Wolverines Men’s Basketball Team that won the NCAA Title after releasing Bill Frieder and replacing him with Steve Fisher prior to the tournament. Comparisons are already being drawn by the Spaniards themselves. Andres Iniesta and the Spanish have the talent to win it all.

Morocco
Morocco took one loss prior to this World Cup with the news of a joint USA-Canada-Mexico 2026 World Cup bid. The methodical Moroccans will be tough to score against and while the Atlas Lions face a tough group, you have to beat the best to be the best. Hakim Ziyech is the player worth keeping an eye on.

Iran
After cupcaking their way to qualification in soccer’s version of the Eastern Conference (Asia), Iran’s confidence should be at an all time high. Alireza Jahanbakhsh can provide some scoring for a team that is pretty disciplined on the defensive end.

Group C

France
Egotistical French stars Antoine Griezmann, Paul Pogba, and Kylian Mbappe have the ability to compete with anyone in the world if they can stop competing against each other. This is basically a Duke basketball team, mentally weak but physically imposing. France hopes the latter emerges in Russia.  

Australia

Get Kangaroo Jack in a jersey and see what happens. But for now, it will be Aaron Mooy trying to have his team jumping for joy and leaping into the knockout stages. Don’t underestimate the Socceroos from the Land Down Under.

Peru
Paolo Guerrero and Jefferson Farfan will be responsible for the offensive attack on a tight-knit group from South America. Peru has a great chance at advancing to the knockout stage which would be an accomplishment for a team that hasn’t been to the World Cup in 36 years.

Denmark
The conversation around Denmark starts and ends with Christian Eriksen. How far can a superstar take you? I guess it depends on the sport.

Group D

Argentina
Lionel Messi. (It’s time to finish the job)

Iceland
Deception is the name of the game with Iceland. They tricked everyone with the whole Iceland vs Greenland name swap and have people overlooking them once again. After the unforgettable Euro 2016 run and the Viking War Chant, Iceland is ready for the World Cup. Gylfi Sigurdsson leads a group of underdogs, but we all know what they say. “A hungry dog runs fastest.”

Croatia
A midfield of dreams featuring Luka Modric and Ivan Rakitic give Croatia a chance in any game they play. Nobody really knows what to expect out of this team which could be their greatest advantage.

Nigeria
John Obi Mikel, Alex Iwobi, and Victor Moses give Nigeria a chance to make some noise in an unpredictable group. They will have to manage the goal differential and cover up the goalkeeping issues to survive.

Group E

Brazil
Watching Brazil’s 7-1 loss to Germany was one of the funniest things I’ve ever watched on live television. Brazil always confuses me because I have to guess if the name on their jerseys is their first or last name. Seems like there is a heavy emphasis for the name on the back rather than the name on the front. Brazil is loaded with stars, none more obvious than Neymar and can win the World Cup on talent alone.

Switzerland
Their flag is the first aid symbol which coincides with the amount of pain they hope to cause opposing fans. We’ll have to figure out if the Swiss can find holes in a defense like they do in their cheese.

Costa Rica
Keylor Navas is one of the top goal stoppers in the world and has the fate of the Ticos in his hands.

Serbia
Young weapons Aleksandar Mitrovic and Sergej Milinkovic-Savic lead the Serbian attack. It’s likely a battle for second in this group and the difference could be European fundamentals.

Group F

Germany
They won last time.

Mexico
El Tri has taken the idea of building a wall to the soccer pitch. Defense has been the calling card for the Mexicans on the road through qualifiers and will need to be stronger than ever if they hope to advance to the quarterfinals. I would love to see the reaction here in Texas if Mexico actually can make something happen. I also watch the World Cup on Telemundo.

Sweden
Fresh off winning the IIHF 2018 Hockey World Championship, the Swedes are looking for the sweep of the summer this time on the pitch. Sweden, known for Swedish Fish, was struggling with an unwanted catch, Zlatan Ibrahimovic and his selfishness. With Ibrahimovic gone, The Blue-Yellow are playing for the name on the front. Sharing the ball helps win games, a revolutionary concept still not fully realized on pick-up basketball courts across America.

South Korea
After hosting the Olympics, South Korea hits the road for this one. They won’t have their Olympic mascot Soohorang the White Tiger with them but they will have Son Heung-Min, a deadly forward.

Group G

Belgium
Belgium makes the Belgian Waffle and Kevin de Bruyne makes the Belgian National Team go. Belgium plays hard and can put themselves in position to win it all. If they get one upset win deep in the tournament, they could be the last ones standing.

Panama
Could this be the year of the expansion team? Las Vegas made quite a run in its first NHL season and the Panamanians have the opportunity in front of them at their first world cup. Expect the unexpected.

Tunisia
Indiana Jones: Raiders of the Lost Ark was filmed in Tunisia.

England
They invented the sport so they should have it down by now.

Group H

Poland
Robert Lewandowski gives Poland the star power needed to compete. He scored 16 goals in qualifications. Poland is a dark horse.

Senegal
Sadio Mane has a great opportunity to be embraced on the world stage representing Senegal.

Colombia
Colombia expects James Rodriguez to deliver. After 2014, Rodriguez left us wanting more. Los Cafeteros have the roster to dream of winning it all.

Japan
As the old Japanese proverb says, “If you do not enter the Tiger’s cave, you will not catch the cub.” Japan has nothing to lose, so into the World Cup they go. A veteran team will rely on its wisdom for guidance during pressure situations.

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NBA Mock Draft 2.0 Post NBA Combine/Post Early Entry Deadline

6/6/2018

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By: Lucas Vargas

The NBA Draft is fast approaching and teams have had their opportunity to evaluate talent through the combine and individual workouts. Players have made their final decisions on whether or not to remain in the draft or return to school which has finalized the draft pool. Recent reports have hinted that Luka Doncic may be passed on by the Kings and Hawks shaking up the top 10. Villanova players Donte DiVincenzo and Omari Spellman made big decisions and have boosted their draft stock. Kevin Huerter appears to have cemented himself in the first round conversation. There is plenty of time for more shake ups but given what we have seen so far, here are my projections.

1. Phoenix Suns: Deandre Ayton, Arizona Wildcats, Center, Age 19
Ayton averaged 20.1 PPG and 11.6 RPG in his lone season at Arizona. A man among boys that dominated on the offensive end of the floor, the former Wildcat shouldn’t have to travel far to find his NBA destination. The athletic center immediately fills the most glaring hole on Phoenix’s roster and will continue the infusion of young talent into the Suns’ organization.  

2. Sacramento Kings: Marvin Bagley III, Duke, Power Forward, Age 19  
Bagley averaged 21 PPG and 11 RPG at Duke with athleticism that jumped off the page. His athleticism is complimented by a high energy level on the offensive end. He has a solid repertoire of post moves but needs serious development with his defensive skills, he looked lost at times especially against ball screens. This pick could also help the Kings form an incredibly dangerous pick and roll combo with Bagley and point guard De’Aaron Fox.

3. Atlanta Hawks: Jaren Jackson Jr., Michigan State, Power Forward/Center, Age 18
Jaren Jackson Jr. can stretch the floor and protect the rim. Jackson still has a long way to go as a basketball player starting with mental engagement, but it’s impossible to deny that he has one of the draft’s biggest upsides. Jackson failed to dominate like he was capable of maybe because he was disinterested with the college game. Atlanta is collecting young talent in their rebuild and Jackson could spread the floor to work alongside John Collins.  

4. Memphis Grizzlies: Luka Doncic, Real Madrid, Guard, Age 19
The crafty Slovenian is 6’8”, can handle the ball like a guard, and create his own shot. He is lighting up the Euroleague at age 19 and would give the Grizzlies the offensive threat they desperately need to bounce back in the West.  If he falls this far, Doncic would be a gift for the Grizzlies at 4.

5. Dallas Mavericks: Mohamed Bamba, Texas, Center, Age 19
I think Bamba projects as a player similar to Clint Capela with more athleticism and the potential to develop some sort of catch and shoot jump shot. Bamba can be an elite shot blocker with 7’10” wingspan and freakish mobility shown by his 3.04 ¾ court time recently recorded at a workout with the Bulls. He has a slim frame and doesn’t have the strength to bang in the post so he could be susceptible to getting bullied by opposing bigs. Strength and engagement on the court are the two areas of need for Bamba, but he has the athleticism and potential to be a top 5 pick.

6. Orlando Magic: Michael Porter Jr., Missouri, Small Forward, Age 19
Porter Jr. is the draft’s biggest mystery because of how little we got to see him this past season due to a back injury that limited him to just three total games. If he is at full health the Magic get the wing talent they need to build around. Teams will do their best to ensure they are not receiving damaged goods with such a valuable pick, it will be interesting to follow his pre-draft process.

7. Chicago Bulls: Wendell Carter Jr., Duke, Center, Age 19
Carter can hold his own physically on the low block at 260 pounds. He should have a long career as a capable starter thanks to a solid foundation of skill and talent. Carter could slide in nicely along Markkanen and solves the Bull’s need at center. Carter is a safe pick for a franchise that finds themselves in the top half of the lottery.

8. Cleveland Cavaliers: Collin Sexton, Alabama, Point Guard, Age 19
The Cavs take Sexton over Young here because of his potential on the defensive side of the ball. He has the athleticism and size to hold his own with the elite point guards in the league and he can create his own shot in a variety of ways. If LeBron stays, Sexton is also not as ball dominant as Young and gives the Cavs two dribble drive threats. If LeBron leaves, Sexton becomes the future of Cleveland, a role he is familiar with after carrying the load at Alabama last season and single-handedly leading them to a berth in the Round of 32.

9. New York Knicks: Mikal Bridges, Villanova, Small Forward, Age 21
Bridges is an NBA ready 3 and D wing that could complete a young core along with Tim Hardaway, Jr. and Kristaps Porzingis. Bridges knows what it takes to win games thanks to his time at Villanova and plays the game technically sound with a high level of effort.

10. Philadelphia 76ers: Robert Williams, Texas A&M, Center, Age 20
Williams is an above the rim athlete who looked like he didn’t care at times while he was at Texas A&M. He is NBA ready from a physical standpoint but teams will want to understand his thought process. He could slide in as a backup energy big for a 76ers team that continues to stockpile young talent for one of the most talented teams in the East.

11. Charlotte Hornets: Miles Bridges, Michigan State, Small Forward, Age 20
Bridges is an athletic player that chose to go back to school for another year. He improved as a shooter but fell in love with his jump shot too much for a guy with the size to drive defenders and attack the rim. This is good value for Charlotte and they would be tasked with maximizing the potential that Bridges possess.

12. Los Angeles Clippers: Trae Young, Oklahoma, Point Guard, Age 19
An elite shot creator and shot maker, Trae Young is an excellent passer that could step into a rebuilding roster. He is undersized and extremely ball dominant but he has the offensive skills to be an NBA point guard.

13. Los Angeles Clippers: Lonnie Walker IV, Miami, Shooting Guard, Age 19
Austin Rivers is not the long term answer at shooting guard and Walker could slide in with Trae Young as more of a slashing guard. He is an explosive guard that may need time to pan out. Boom or bust.

14. Denver Nuggets: Kevin Knox, Kentucky, Small Forward/Power Forward, Age 18
The Nuggets are ready to compete in the West and could use Knox as a reserve combo forward to finally break through and advance to the playoffs for the first time since 2013.  He is pretty raw as a basketball player but has tremendous upside. He should only continue to improve his game in Mike Malone’s system.

15. Washington Wizards: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kentucky, Point Guard, Age 19
Washington needs to go with best available at this pick due to the salary cap jam they are in along with the current stars on their roster in Wall and Beal. Gilgeous-Alexander showed improvement at Kentucky over the year and has the size and skills to develop for the future and contribute off the bench.

16. Phoenix Suns: Aaron Holiday, UCLA, Point Guard, Age 21
That’s right, Holiday is headed to the NBA.  The younger brother of Jrue and Justin, Aaron Holiday has the experience and scoring ability to provide instant backcourt depth on a team likely to lose Elfrid Payton. There won’t be a steep learning curve with Holiday, who could get big minutes right away at point guard.

17. Milwaukee Bucks: Troy Brown, Oregon, Shooting Guard/Small Forward, Age 18
Brown brings the versatility, size, and athleticism that the Bucks have made a culture out of in Milwaukee. He needs to work on his jump shot but the opportunity is there to play over Tony Snell.

18. San Antonio Spurs: Zhaire Smith, Texas Tech, Shooting Guard, Age 18
Smith flew under the radar at Texas Tech, but has shot up draft boards with elite athleticism and defensive potential. His in game dunks are worth watching and he has a foundation for a catch and shoot 3 point shot. The Spurs have the ability to develop his raw skills and make him a two-way contributor. I think this would be a great match.

19. Atlanta Hawks: Anfernee Simons, IMG Academy, Point Guard, Age 18
Simmons is a wild card coming out of IMG Academy, but the Hawks are looking to compile young talent and have the time to take a chance.

20. Minnesota Timberwolves: Khyri Thomas, Creighton, Shooting Guard, Age 21
Thomas is a 3 and D guard that could help the Timberwolves capitalize on the roster they have right now. Thomas could be an NBA ready guard for the Timberwolves bench as they look to take another step in the right direction.

21. Utah Jazz: Donte DiVincenzo, Villanova, Shooting Guard, Age 21
After dropping 31 points off the bench in the Wildcats’ championship-clinching win, DiVincenzo showed out at the NBA Combine and has cemented himself in the first round conversation.  Utah would value his shooting, ability to defend, and basketball IQ as well as the displayed ability to create his own shot off the dribble. He’d be a great fit out West.

22. Chicago Bulls: Chandler Hutchison, Boise State, Small Forward, Age 22
Chandler Hutchison has inside and outside scoring ability and would be a nice fit thanks to his versatility as a combo forward. A team around the early 20’s has reportedly promised to take him and there are indications that could be Chicago.

23. Indiana Pacers: Gary Trent Jr., Duke, Small Forward, Age 19
An outstanding catch and shoot threat, Trent wasn’t able to show off all his skills at Duke due to the collection of talent on the floor. He would be ready to contribute off the bench as a scorer for a Pacers team that came close to knocking off the Cavs in the first round of the playoffs.

24. Portland Trail Blazers: Jacob Evans, Cincinnati, Shooting Guard, Age 20
Evans is an intense defender that can match up across guards and wings. He projects as a 3 and D player at a pick the Blazers need to make count to avoid wasting the young core of Lillard and McCollum.

25. Los Angeles Lakers: Mitchell Robinson, Center, Age 20
Robinson is in a bizarre situation after he left Western Kentucky shortly after arriving on campus. He was a McDonald’s All American out of high school and as an athletic 7-footer he may be worth the risk for the Lakers at 25.

26. Philadelphia 76ers: Kevin Huerter, Maryland, Shooting Guard, Age 19
Huerter shot up draft boards after the NBA combine and elected to remain in the draft. He is an outstanding shooter with great size at 6’7”. Teams will be hoping to get a player similar to Klay Thompson with Huerter which may be a stretch of the imagination. He won’t have to make his own shot with Simmons distributing and gives the Sixers more perimeter depth.  

27. Boston Celtics: Jalen Brunson, Villanova, Point Guard, Age 21
Another Villanova guard that will be discounted by many, Brunson is still a point guard that led 2 national championship runs. He is a cerebral point guard that brings a physical style along with shotmaking ability. He can defend, distribute, and get his teammates involved. Brunson knows how to run an offense and play off the ball. The Celtics may not financially be able to keep Marcus Smart of Terry Rozier potentially leaving Brunson as the next reserve guard for Brad Stevens.

28. Golden State Warriors: De’Anthony Melton, USC, Point Guard, Age 19
The Warriors will be looking to draft a role player prepared to contribute. Melton fits that role as a distributor and defender.

29. Brooklyn Nets: Omari Spellman, Villanova, Power Forward, Age 20
Spellman was a matchup nightmare in college as a 6’9” 245 pound power forward that could shoot 3s, attack off the dribble, post up, and crash the glass. He is physical and strong enough to compete in the NBA and he has already been in school for 2 years. He would give the Nets valuable and versatile size to end the first round.

30. Atlanta Hawks: Jerome Robinson, Boston College, Shooting Guard, Age 21
Jerome Robinson is a talented scorer coming off a season where he averaged 20.7 PPG at Boston College. Atlanta’s third first round selection could improve their guard depth and provide them with a guy used to carrying the scoring load against premier ACC talent.

31. Phoenix Suns: Keita Bates-Diop, Ohio State, Small Forward, Age 22
32. Memphis Grizzlies: Landry Shamet, Wichita State, Shooting Guard, Age 21
33. Dallas Mavericks: Moritz Wagner, Michigan, Power Forward, Age 21
34. Atlanta Hawks: Josh Okogie, Georgia Tech, Shooting Guard, Age 19
35. Orlando Magic: Grayson Allen, Duke, Shooting Guard, Age 22
36. New York Knicks: Melvin Frazier, Tulane, Shooting Guard, Age 21
37. Sacramento Kings: Bruce Brown, Miami, Shooting Guard, Age 21
38. Philadelphia 76ers: Elie Okobo, France, Point Guard, Age 20
39. Philadelphia 76ers: Rodions Kurucs, Barcelona, Small Forward, Age 20
40. Brooklyn Nets: Jarred Vanderbilt, Kentucky, Small Forward, Age 19
41. Orlando Magic: Hamidou Diallo, Kentucky, Shooting Guard, Age 19
42. Detroit Pistons: Shake Milton, SMU, Point Guard, Age 21
43. Denver Nuggets: Vince Edwards, Purdue, Power Forward, Age 22
44. Washington Wizards: Dzanan Musa, KK Cedevita, Small Forward, Age 19
45. Brooklyn Nets: Rawle Alkins, Arizona, Shooting Guard, Age 20
46. Houston Rockets: Justin Jackson, Maryland, Small Forward, Age 21
47. Los Angeles Lakers: Malik Newman, Kansas, Point Guard, Age 21
48. Minnesota Timberwolves: Tony Carr, Penn State, Point Guard, Age 20
49. San Antonio Spurs: Kevin Hervey, UT-Arlington, Power Forward, Age 21
50. Indiana Pacers: Svi Mykhailiuk, Kansas, Small Forward, Age 20
51. New Orleans Pelicans: Jevon Carter, West Virginia, Point Guard, Age 22
52. Utah Jazz: Chimezie Metu, USC, Power Forward, Age 21
53. Oklahoma City Thunder: Devonte Graham, Kansas, Point Guard, 23
54. Dallas Mavericks: Ray Spalding, Louisville, Power Forward, Age 21
55. Charlotte Hornets: Devon Hall, Virginia, Shooting Guard, Age 22
56. Philadelphia 76ers: Allonzo Trier, Arizona, Point Guard, Age 22
57. Oklahoma City Thunder: Kenrich Williams, TCU. Small Forward, Age 23
58. Denver Nuggets: Billy Preston, Kansas, Center, Age 20
59. Phoenix Suns: Trevon Duval, Duke, Point Guard, Age 19
60. Philadelphia 76ers: Isaac Bonga, Germany, Small Forward, Age 19


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Introducing Casey Mize

6/4/2018

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By: Alex Drain

The Detroit Tigers selected Auburn RHP Casey Mize with the #1 overall pick in the 2018 MLB Draft on Monday night. Mize immediately becomes the top prospect in the Detroit system and a key part of the Tigers’ future as the team is still in the beginning of a rebuild. Given this, it’s time to take a look at who the Tigers are getting and what to expect going forward.


Biography
Mize was born on May 1, 1997, so he’s the typical age for a college player. Unlike most college players taken in the first round of the MLB Draft, Mize was never drafted out of high school. The Springville, Alabama, native was very raw and went straight to Auburn University where he started in the bullpen as a freshman, making 7 starts and 16 total appearances to the tune of a 3.52 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. In his sophomore season, he officially broke into the rotation full time, with a 2.04 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP and entering into serious contention for the MLB Draft. However it was an excellent junior season that propelled the 6’3”, 208 lb. righty to the top of draft boards.

His Junior Season
In 2018, Mize has taken his play to another level, emerging as the clear #1 pick on just about everyone’s draft board. His 2.95 ERA is a tad misleading and it’s the other numbers that are more impressive. In 109.2 innings, Mize has surrendered 77 hits and 12 walks, for a 0.82 WHIP with a 151 strikeouts. That comes out to a gaudy 12.39 K/9 inning but more importantly, an astonishing 12.58-to-1 K/BB ratio, almost unheard of numbers.

His Stuff
As you can guess by that K/BB ratio, his greatest tool is his command. He can control all of his pitches effectively, pounding the zone against hitters. I’m a strong believer in fastball command as the first trait I look for in young pitchers, and he fits that mold to a tee. His fastball sits between 92-97 mph, not sacrificing much velocity for the pinpoint command. He can get swings and misses with that pitch, but his strikeout pitch is the splitter. The splitter is in the mid-80s mph and dives down in the zone, graded as a 70/80 by MLB.com, his best pitch according to them. He also has a productive slider that has by all accounts, improved as his career at Auburn has continued. He also can throw a cutter when he wants, though it’s not a feature pitch.

The Risk
The big thing with Mize is that he is a rather low risk player. In a draft that had no generational talent, Mize was the best player, but also the best combination of low risk but still a sizable reward. Unlike a high school pitcher, Mize is very refined and won’t require too much maturation on his way to the MLB. There are injury concerns for Mize, as there are with almost any young pitcher. One point of concern is the splitter, a particularly hard pitch on the elbow, which is a big reason why few pitchers throw it anymore. Mize says he’s changed the grip to make it less demanding on his elbow, something that seems to have worked as he’s gone his entire junior campaign without any sign of injury. However, he was shut down last season after he developed a tired arm. He has no apparent personality issues and scouts like his compete level and work ethic. And obviously, his improvement at Auburn shows that he’s willing to learn and mature.

His Ceiling
It’s always anyone’s guess when trying to project the ceiling of young prospects, but Mize clearly has the potential to be a frontline starter. Whether he’s a #1 or a #2 doesn’t really matter but he clearly has top of the rotation stuff. The Tigers should look at him as someone they can pencil in at the top of their future rotation if he reaches his potential.

His path to the MLB 
The upside to drafting college players is that they are much closer to the MLB than high school players. When looking at recent top 10 college pitchers, most make it to the MLB within 2 years of being drafted. Aaron Nola, Trevor Bauer, Kevin Gausman, and Carson Fulmer made it to the show the very next season, while Gerrit Cole and Matt Harvey made it in the second full season in the system. As a result, we should expect Mize to make it to Detroit in 2019 if things went perfectly, or in 2020 if he takes a normal route. He will probably start in A+ Lakeland either this season, or to start next year should the Tigers choose to shut him down like they did Alex Faedo last year because Mize has already logged a lot of innings in college. From there, it’s the fast track to the bigs, including AA and AAA.
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